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When will humanity use more than one millionth of the sun's energy output?

16

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

31

160 comments160

In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?

131 forecasters

40

AI Demonstrations

A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious

5

AI ambiguity Series

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?

3

Pandemic Series (2018)

Will a human beat AlphaGo in 2017?

181 forecasters

10

When will machine translation achieve a "word accuracy score" comparable to that of professional human translators?

Resolved :Oct 2, 2018

160 forecasters

39

AI Demonstrations

A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?

5

What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be, at the end of 2022?

3

AI Technical Benchmarks

Will the UK government change its guidance to recommend face coverings in schools before they close?

6