Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?
5%
241 forecasters
21
42 comments
42
Will AOC be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, 2028, or 2032?
8%
174 forecasters
17
27 comments
27
Which party will win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies in the next Italian election?
Brothers of Italy
68%
Democratic Party
21%
Lega
10.4%
6 others
1
3 comments
3
Will Kamala Harris be president before inauguration day 2025?
2%
457 forecasters
53
76 comments
76
Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives?
99.9%
38 forecasters
4
13 comments
13
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
48 forecasters
5
9 comments
9
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
53%
93 forecasters
10
10 comments
10
Will Medicare for all be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?
1%
135 forecasters
12
26 comments
26
Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?
5%
39 forecasters
10
11 comments
11
Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?
50%
97 forecasters
17
8 comments
8
Load More