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When will humanity use more than one millionth of the sun's energy output?
2.26k
63 forecasters
16
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When will alien technosignatures be detected for the first time?
2512-02-16
116 forecasters
18
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Verity
Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c (> 1)?
193
4 forecasters
9
17 comments
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Will alien technosignatures be detected before 2050?
2.5%
447 forecasters
53
69 comments
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Looking ahead to 2050: Charting scenarios without transformative AI
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3 comments
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AI Progress Essay Contest
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
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