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What is the highest value 1 bitcoin will ever reach by 2030?

144 forecasters

16

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

553 forecasters

87

Will an LLM pass an ARA evaluation before 2025?

14

A major "theft" of cryptocurrency in November 2017?

10

2017 Cryptocurrency Contest

Most useful forecastint tools/data sources

26

[Short-Fuse] Will AbstractSpyTreeBot win the Darwin Game on Lesswrong?

5

Will a Nobel Prize for Economics be awarded for MMT before 2041?

11

Will Polymarket default on an obligation to hand over their users’ USDC on request or wrongly resolve a market by the end of 2022?

Resolved :Ambiguous

13

How high will the U.S.' total dependency ratio be in 2039?

3

Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?

9