Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?
43.2%
75 forecasters
16
43 comments
43
Future Effective Altruism Resources Series
Will Sam Bankman-Fried have donated $1bn 2021 USD to charitable causes before 2031?
0.9%
154 forecasters
16
37 comments
37
Future Effective Altruism Resources Series
Will the 'Effective Altruism' movement continue to grow through 2020?
Resolved :
No
129 forecasters
39
37 comments
37
Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?
79%
89 forecasters
14
13 comments
13
On December 31, 2023, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
103 forecasters
16
25 comments
25
How many posts will there be on the Effective Altruism Forum in 2020?
Resolved :
1.63k
32 forecasters
2
10 comments
10
Will the #NoFees4Charity campaign succeed?
Resolved :
No
70 forecasters
6
20 comments
20
Will the UK government succeed in reducing its commitment to spend 0.7% of GNI on International aid?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
58 forecasters
9
18 comments
18
Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
62 forecasters
4
10 comments
10
Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series
Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2025?
Resolved :
Yes
38 forecasters
9
10 comments
10
Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series
Load More