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How much new solar PV capacity will be installed globally in 2030?
1.18k
35 forecasters
9
13 comments
13
How much total electricity, in terawatt-hours, will be generated worldwide in the year 2030?
33.6k
9 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?
75%
63 forecasters
4
4 comments
4
Space Technology & Climate
Will molecular nanotechnology have been proven feasible by the following years?
2050
77%
2040
61%
2030
24.2%
6
1 comment
1
Future of AI
Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?
52.8%
396 forecasters
34
98 comments
98
AGI Outcomes
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
36.9%
371 forecasters
38
40 comments
40
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
9%
265 forecasters
34
52 comments
52
Ragnarök Series
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
46.9%
77 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
Ragnarök Series
Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
20%
107 forecasters
18
15 comments
15
Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
22%
31 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
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