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Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024?

430 forecasters

8

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?

Milk recall due to H5N1

US officials warn against drinking milk

Confirmed H5N1 infection from retail milk

4

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?

173 forecasters

24

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

127 forecasters

7

Biosecurity Tournament

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved vaccine?

5

Biosecurity Tournament

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

9

Biosecurity Tournament

Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?

3

Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?

7

Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?

5

Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?

149 forecasters

21