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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
36.9%
371 forecasters
38
40 comments
40
Ragnarök Series
Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk by 2040?
84%
145 forecasters
19
17 comments
17
Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?
2.5%
115 forecasters
16
10 comments
10
Business of AI
Will Elon Musk step down as CEO of Tesla by mid-2018?
Resolved :
No
95 forecasters
8
2 comments
2
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
57%
230 forecasters
21
13 comments
13
Ragnarök Series
How much will Open Philanthropy grant in their focus area of Potential Risks from Advanced Artificial Intelligence in 2021?
Resolved :
64.1M
27 forecasters
6
16 comments
16
What will be the total size of Open Philanthropy's 2022 grants in the nuclear risk area?
Resolved :
505k
49 forecasters
6
21 comments
21
Nuclear Risk Tournament
AI Safety ∩ AI/DL Research
10
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
Will "slaughterbots" kill at least 50 people outside a military conflict by 2035?
68%
54 forecasters
20
22 comments
22
AI Safety
At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?
Dario Amodei
No
Mark Zuckerberg
No
Sundar Pichai
No
2 others
3
9 comments
9
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