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By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

241 forecasters

49

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

127 forecasters

7

Biosecurity Tournament

Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?

9

Will there be a breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?

290 forecasters

34

AI Demonstrations

By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

112 forecasters

31

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

6

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

4

Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?

35

By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?

19

Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?

167 forecasters

53

Playing God Series