MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Will humans go extinct before 2100?

1237 forecasters

72

331 comments331

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

6

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight when it is next updated?

5

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

10

Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?

5

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due "other risks"?

3

In 2022, will the Future Fund give more than Open Philanthropy to longtermist causes?

Resolved :Ambiguous

10

Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years

26

Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?

9

Securing a Flourishing Future by Forecasting Nuclear Risks