Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
What will the top GPU score be on Passmark on January 1st 2021?
Resolved :
25.4k
51 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
How good were our AI timeline predictions so far?
10
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
How much of AI progress is from scaling compute? And how far will it scale?
7
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates?
Jan-2026:
6.07M
74 forecasters
6
31 comments
31
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
Introducing Fan Graphs
15
3 comments
3
Metaculus Meta
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
11 comments
11
Will an Elon Musk-funded AI lab release an LLM before 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
199 forecasters
10
46 comments
46
Business of AI
On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's?
1
1 comment
1
On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's?
Resolved :
No
162 forecasters
12
39 comments
39
🏆 Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's?
1
no comments
0
AI benchmarking warmup
Load More
