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What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?

2

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Orthomyxoviridae

Other 24 known HIVF

19

Biosecurity Tournament

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

127 forecasters

7

Biosecurity Tournament

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

296 forecasters

40

Biosecurity Tournament

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

187 forecasters

19

Biosecurity Tournament

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

114 forecasters

16

Biosecurity Tournament

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved vaccine?

5

Biosecurity Tournament

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

9

Biosecurity Tournament

Ragnarök Question Series: if a natural pandemic catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

5

Ragnarök Series