Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
210 comments
210
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
69%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Singapore
80%
Taiwan
75%
Vietnam
72%
9 others
6
8 comments
8
Chinese AI Chips
Is the giant rotting sea thing just a whale?
Resolved :
Yes
12 forecasters
2 comments
2
A surge in large earthquakes in 2018?
Resolved :
No
78 forecasters
5
2 comments
2
Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?
18%
54 forecasters
8
4 comments
4
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO South-East Asia Region by March 27?
Resolved :
2.93k
50 forecasters
6
16 comments
16
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
EV Battery Supply Chains and EU Regulations: 3 Scenarios
5
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
How many countries will be in OPEC on December 31, 2025?
12.2
13 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
How many parties will the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership have on December 31, 2030?
12.1
7 forecasters
2
6 comments
6
Load More
