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Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

6

Chinese AI Chips

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

1432 forecasters

176

488 comments488

Will the US restrict Chinese AI developers' access to US cloud compute before 2025?

7

Chinese AI Chips

When will at least a zettabyte of digital information be destroyed as the result of a single event?

7

US Restricts China's Cloud Compute Access?

NVIDIA's Market cap next 5 years (End of 2024)

NVIDIA's Market cap next 5 years (End of 2024)

1

Conditional Cup

Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025?

Civil Liability Laws

Mandatory Disclosure Requirements

10

Regulation of AI

EV Sales Share Above 11% in US in 2024?

Level 2 or Greater Public Charging Stations (2025)

Level 2 or Greater Public Charging Stations (2025)

2

Conditional Cup

Will AI successfully act on the instruction, “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment,” before January 1, 2030?

6

Will the US government deem that an AI model has been trained with at least 1e26 FLOP before 2026?

5

Regulation of AI

Will JavaScript be the most used programming language in the 2030 Stack Overflow Developer Survey?

23