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When will at least a zettabyte of digital information be destroyed as the result of a single event?

7

Forecasting OWID Commenting Prize Winners

8

Forecasting Our World in Data

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

11

What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?

124 forecasters

41

When will >50% of users access Google over IPv6?

6

Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?

124 forecasters

21

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

125 forecasters

15

Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?

11

Seeing single photons: more research to come?

7

When will the first 49+ qubit universal quantum computer be constructed?

Resolved :Ambiguous

25