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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
69%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
62 comments
62
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
68%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
210 comments
210
Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
95%
North Macedonia
83.5%
Albania
81%
17 others
23
51 comments
51
Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?
Contested
90%
Israel
10%
Hamas
0.4%
3 others
25
75 comments
75
Israel-Gaza Conflict
The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times
13
4 comments
4
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?
97.5%
776 forecasters
31
46 comments
46
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
3%
282 forecasters
26
80 comments
80
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
3%
Germany
1%
Taiwan
1%
6 others
12
22 comments
22
Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?
1%
209 forecasters
19
38 comments
38
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
22%
446 forecasters
58
67 comments
67
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