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Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?
Resolved :
Yes
115 forecasters
11
60 comments
60
How many months in prison will Hunter Biden be sentenced to before 2026?
10 forecasters
3
10 comments
10
What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?
2023:
7.84
35 forecasters
12
10 comments
10
Climate Tipping Points Round 1
Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election?
Resolved :
No
50 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
3%
Germany
1%
Taiwan
1%
6 others
12
22 comments
22
Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?
2%
228 forecasters
19
17 comments
17
Will Kamala Harris be president before inauguration day 2025?
2%
458 forecasters
53
76 comments
76
Will the USMCA be extended promptly at its July 2026 joint review?
33%
13 forecasters
2
1 comment
1
Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025?
1%
196 forecasters
40
30 comments
30
Will the US government deem that an AI model has been trained with at least 1e26 FLOP before 2026?
93%
32 forecasters
5
7 comments
7
Regulation of AI
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