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How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?

7

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?

109 forecasters

15

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Orthomyxoviridae

Other 24 known HIVF

19

Biosecurity Tournament

How many high-risk laboratory biosecurity incidents will occur between 2022 and 2026 (inclusive)?

102 forecasters

9

Biosecurity Tournament

Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?

9

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

296 forecasters

40

Biosecurity Tournament

For how many of the 26 human-infecting virus families will there be at least one licensed vaccine before 2032?

3

Biosecurity Tournament

Before 2032 will a universal influenza vaccine be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

114 forecasters

16

Biosecurity Tournament

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved vaccine?

5

Biosecurity Tournament

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

9

Biosecurity Tournament