Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
20%
66 forecasters
8
10 comments
10
Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2025?
1%
30 forecasters
1
1 comment
1
Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
8%
62 forecasters
13
19 comments
19
How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"?
Resolved :
4
46 forecasters
7
83 comments
83
Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?
10%
108 forecasters
13
7 comments
7
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?
1%
182 forecasters
4
105 comments
105
Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?
24%
137 forecasters
19
37 comments
37
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
10%
353 forecasters
37
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will there be a China-Russia war by 2035?
1%
223 forecasters
18
52 comments
52
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025?
1%
126 forecasters
14
40 comments
40
Load More