MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

What will be the average overall Global Health Security Index score for 2030?

6

Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs?

7

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

What will be the total size of Open Philanthropy's 2022 grants in the nuclear risk area?

6

Nuclear Risk Tournament

How many staff at EA orgs other than ALLFED will be primarily focused on nuclear risk in December 2022?

Resolved :Annulled

3

Nuclear Risk Tournament

Will a donor other than Carnegie or MacArthur make >$10m of nuclear risk related grants in 2022?

3

Nuclear Risk Tournament

Donating Tournament Prizes

6

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

2

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

2