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Will the 'Effective Altruism' movement continue to grow through 2020?

129 forecasters

39

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

14

Animal Welfare Series

11

Animal Welfare Series

How large will the largest single grant made by Open Philanthropy in 2020 be?

Resolved :33.9M

11

By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?

100 forecasters

20

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

4

What will the US police-to-prison spending ratio be in 2030?

4

How much will Open Philanthropy grant in their focus area of Potential Risks from Advanced Artificial Intelligence in 2021?

Resolved :64.1M

6

When will most eggs produced in the EU be sexed before hatching?

8

Animal Welfare Series

When will insect feed replace fishmeal for animal feed?

1