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Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025?

191 forecasters

23

When will 150 million Americans be vaccinated against COVID-19?

Resolved :Jun 18, 2021

11

Will Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech, or Oxford/AstraZeneca start producing an updated vaccine targeting a SARS-CoV-2 variant before 2023?

124 forecasters

23

What will be the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31 if greater than or equal to 50% of Americans initiate vaccination (1st dose received) with a COVID-19 vaccine by 2021-03-01?

Resolved :Ambiguous

8

What will be the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31 if less than 50% of Americans initiate vaccination (1st dose received) with a COVID-19 vaccine by 2021-03-01?

5

What will be the absolute efficacy of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?

5

Will the US implement any of Alex Tabarrok's vaccine suggestions?

12

Will sufficient SARS-CoV-2 vaccine supply for all U.S. adults be allocated by 31 May 2021?

13

When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO?

Resolved :Above upper bound

10

When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO?

Resolved :Above upper bound

4