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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Singapore
80%
Taiwan
75%
Vietnam
72%
9 others
6
8 comments
8
Chinese AI Chips
Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?
58.5%
14 forecasters
1
3 comments
3
Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?
Resolved :
No
119 forecasters
10
2 comments
2
In second edition of the Animal Protection Index how many countries will be listed with B or A grades on the indicator for "Formal Recognition of Animal Sentience"?
Resolved :
8
21 forecasters
1
2 comments
2
Animal Welfare Series
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Western Pacific Region, outside of China and Taiwan, by March 27?
Resolved :
17.9k
41 forecasters
4
5 comments
5
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Will Bongbong Marcos win the 2022 Philippine Presidential Election?
Resolved :
Yes
94 forecasters
3
13 comments
13
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
Scott Alexander's 2022 Predictions
15
no comments
0
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023?
Resolved :
No
166 forecasters
15
12 comments
12
China and Global Cooperation
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