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Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024?

430 forecasters

8

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?

Milk recall due to H5N1

US officials warn against drinking milk

Confirmed H5N1 infection from retail milk

4

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

8

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

7

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Keep Virginia Safe II Winners

8

Keep Virginia Safe II: Hospitalizations Series

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?

2

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

5

Before January 1, 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?

581 forecasters

58

109 comments109

How many wild polio cases will be detected by the World Health Organization in the following years?

3