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By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

241 forecasters

49

Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

11

When will some country do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?

14

When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?

19

Will any (non-UK) European Union member state grant regulatory approval for clinical trials using human embryonic stem cells by the end of May?

Resolved :Ambiguous

6

When will the first cloned human be born?

131 forecasters

29

When will the first human be born on another world?

140 forecasters

27

When will the first successful entirely artificial extracorporeal human pregnancy conclude?

26

When will beef for human consumption, from cattle genetically edited to carry a copy of the SRY gene, be for sale in the United States?

5

Animal Welfare Series

What percent of babies born in the US in 2029 will have been conceived in vitro?

16