Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the 2024 US presidential election also be considered fraudulent by the losing party?
Resolved :
No
308 forecasters
43
122 comments
122
Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?
5%
239 forecasters
21
42 comments
42
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
No
Joe Biden (D)
Annulled
17 others
20
82 comments
82
Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives?
99.9%
38 forecasters
4
13 comments
13
Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025?
3%
593 forecasters
15
38 comments
38
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will Kamala Harris be president before inauguration day 2025?
2.5%
457 forecasters
53
76 comments
76
If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day?
Resolved :
Yes
115 forecasters
17
16 comments
16
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
35%
64 forecasters
10
10 comments
10
Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?
50%
97 forecasters
17
8 comments
8
Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?
15%
144 forecasters
15
22 comments
22
Load More