MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

31

208 comments208

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Velyka Novosilka

21

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?

218 forecasters

34

Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

20

If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?

6

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?

959 forecasters

19

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?

1130 forecasters

44

291 comments291

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

8

Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

125 forecasters

10

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

8