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Will there turn out to be widespread fossils of algae and lichens on Mars?
3%
155 forecasters
17
18 comments
18
Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?
Resolved :
No
110 forecasters
24
12 comments
12
Will a sample of negative energy be produced by 2100?
5%
184 forecasters
21
8 comments
8
Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?
10%
62 forecasters
7
9 comments
9
How much exercise can you do before it starts to take more time than it adds life?
Resolved :
21.4
65 forecasters
31
17 comments
17
How many scientific journals will use Registered Reports at the end of 2020?
Resolved :
275
32 forecasters
8
6 comments
6
What percentage of US GDP will be spent on R&D in 2030?
2.84
17 forecasters
4
no comments
0
Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024?
Resolved :
No
202 forecasters
18
19 comments
19
Nuclear Risk Tournament
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Scientific Research in 2030?
147M
9 forecasters
1
no comments
0
Future Effective Altruism Resources Series
Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024?
Resolved :
No
132 forecasters
10
7 comments
7
Nuclear Risk Tournament
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