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Which country will be the first to administer more territory off Earth than on it?
United States
50%
China
33%
United Arab Emirates
10%
6 others
16
42 comments
42
How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years?
2025:
2.67
103 forecasters
13
13 comments
13
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
When will humanity use more than one millionth of the sun's energy output?
2.26k
63 forecasters
16
16 comments
16
When will alien technosignatures be detected for the first time?
2512-02-16
116 forecasters
18
23 comments
23
Verity
In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?
3.39M
93 forecasters
28
38 comments
38
Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c (> 1)?
193
4 forecasters
9
17 comments
17
Will alien technosignatures be detected before 2050?
2.5%
447 forecasters
53
69 comments
69
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama
30.05%
AI-Fizzle
28.8%
AI-Dystopia
18.77%
2 others
31
160 comments
160
AGI Outcomes
An attempt to prove reaction-less EM drive technology in space?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
96 forecasters
17
28 comments
28
Will a sample of negative energy be produced by 2100?
5%
184 forecasters
21
8 comments
8
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