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Angela Merkel re-elected as Chancellor of Germany?

Resolved :Ambiguous

155 forecasters

22

How many countries will be awarded a B or better for farm animal welfare protection by to the Animal Protection Index by end of 2022?

Resolved :Below lower bound

2

Animal Welfare Series

In second edition of the Animal Protection Index how many countries will be listed with B or A grades on the indicator for "Formal Recognition of Animal Sentience"?

1

Animal Welfare Series

What will the global weighted-average levelized cost of energy of onshore wind be in 2020, in 2018 USD per kWh?

4

What will the global weighted-average levelized cost of energy of onshore wind be in 2022, in 2018 USD per kWh?

Resolved :0.0283

8

Will Free Greens gain any seats in the next Danish general election?

5

The 20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

18

20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

On 1 January 2021, will the rate of new confirmed deaths per million from COVID-19 in Sweden be higher than Denmark?

115 forecasters

6

20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

Will a new variant of SARS-COV-2 that, due to a mutation, can infect people who had immunity to a previous variant, cause more than 10M infections globally by the end of 2021?

190 forecasters

44

103 comments103

Will Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech, or Oxford/AstraZeneca start producing an updated vaccine targeting a SARS-CoV-2 variant before 2023?

124 forecasters

23