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Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024?
98%
728 forecasters
21
60 comments
60
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will Robin Hanson win his bet against Matthew Barnett on whether ems will come before de novo AGI?
3%
71 forecasters
16
22 comments
22
AGI Outcomes
What annual real return will the S&P 500 realize 2022-2031?
4.78
128 forecasters
29
38 comments
38
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?
86%
38 forecasters
1
2 comments
2
The Bryan Caplan Collection
Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2016?
Resolved :
No
33 forecasters
8
4 comments
4
Wil the VIX index top 30 before March 15th, 2016?
Resolved :
Yes
12 forecasters
2
3 comments
3
Is market volatility set to strongly increase?
Resolved :
No
33 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
2.5% S&P 500 change on November 9?
Resolved :
No
63 forecasters
7
19 comments
19
Stock market rise correlated with Clinton victory?
Resolved :
No
80 forecasters
9
6 comments
6
Will 2017 be an up year from the US Stock Market?
Resolved :
Yes
87 forecasters
14
7 comments
7
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