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How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024?
4
95%
5
4.7%
2
No
4 others
5
31 comments
31
Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?
8%
717 forecasters
24
89 comments
89
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
When will the following vehicles launch into orbit?
Terran R
Jan 1, 2026
Neutron
Aug 22, 2025
Starship
Jan 4, 2025
3 others
19
73 comments
73
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
One Million Martian Residents by 2075?
2%
363 forecasters
39
75 comments
75
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
125
138 forecasters
15
72 comments
72
Will there be a sustained human settlement on the Moon for at least 1 year before 2030?
0.3%
188 forecasters
14
22 comments
22
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
When will the 10,000th human reach space?
2051-04-25
123 forecasters
25
21 comments
21
Will SpaceX start testing a Starship (BFS) before 2020?
Resolved :
Yes
77 forecasters
13
31 comments
31
Will SpaceX Starship (with or without a booster) reach space before 2021?
Resolved :
No
56 forecasters
7
13 comments
13
By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?
17.5
234 forecasters
42
49 comments
49
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