Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Forecasting OWID Commenting Prize Winners
8
3 comments
3
Forecasting Our World in Data
Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?
0.1%
159 forecasters
16
23 comments
23
Superconductor Frontiers
What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?
1.1ร10ยนโท
124 forecasters
41
43 comments
43
Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?
1%
89 forecasters
9
8 comments
8
Superconductor Frontiers
Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025?
1%
43 forecasters
2
9 comments
9
Superconductor Frontiers
Will quantized gravity soon be tested in the lab?
Resolved :
No
110 forecasters
24
12 comments
12
Will a sample of negative energy be produced by 2100?
5%
184 forecasters
21
8 comments
8
When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
138 forecasters
47
46 comments
46
Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?
53%
18 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
Ultraviolet Catastrophes and Turbulence
14
1 comment
1
Load More
