Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?
Mars
38%
Europa
32.7%
Enceladus
10%
7 others
15
16 comments
16
Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?
25%
271 forecasters
33
32 comments
32
Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?
10%
62 forecasters
7
9 comments
9
Life on the Icy Moons and Ocean Worlds of the Outer Solar System
15
1 comment
1
How far from the bow of the Titanic will the submersible 'Titan' be located?
Resolved :
0.26
35 forecasters
5
50 comments
50
📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
Short Fuse: Will the 'Titan' submersible be recovered intact by noon ET on Thursday, June 22?
Resolved :
No
87 forecasters
6
6 comments
6