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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
Before 30 November 2019, will an Ebola health worker be injured or killed in an attack against an Ebola facility inside the Central African Republic, South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, or Tanzania?
Resolved :
No
53 forecasters
5
19 comments
19
Horizon Scan: How many people will be forcibly displaced in these countries in 2022?
Azerbaijan
707k
Haiti
208k
Sri Lanka
172k
4 others
10
6 comments
6
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?
8%
64 forecasters
11
36 comments
36
East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Uganda
No
Djibouti
No
Kenya
No
4 others
6
2 comments
2
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
11 comments
11
Will an East African Federation exist and govern before 2040?
23.7%
14 forecasters
3
17 comments
17
Forecasting Civil Wars in the Modern World
2
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024?
Resolved :
Yes
52 forecasters
4
14 comments
14
Global Pulse Tournament