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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
52 others
31
208 comments
208
How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?
21 to 100
89.89%
More than 100
9.81%
0
0.1%
2 others
7
95 comments
95
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Haiti
69%
Mali
68%
Afghanistan
63%
70 others
20
59 comments
59
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?
Ukraine
25%
Israel
20%
Pakistan
10%
5 others
6
8 comments
8
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?
5%
109 forecasters
15
66 comments
66
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will the 2024 US presidential election also be considered fraudulent by the losing party?
Resolved :
No
308 forecasters
43
122 comments
122
Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?
6%
237 forecasters
21
42 comments
42
Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?
1%
496 forecasters
14
55 comments
55
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
20%
66 forecasters
8
10 comments
10
Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?
Singapore
80%
Taiwan
75%
Vietnam
72%
9 others
6
8 comments
8
Chinese AI Chips
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