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Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
10%
353 forecasters
37
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
When will the Republican candidate next win the Popular Vote in a US Presidential Election?
19 forecasters
3
5 comments
5
Will AI automation of jobs be essentially ignored in the US presidential race?
Resolved :
Yes
80 forecasters
9
6 comments
6
Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?
Resolved :
No
31 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
When will either the Democratic or Republican party in the US cease to exist?
2064-03-27
98 forecasters
10
35 comments
35
[Short fuse] Will 538's election forecast rate Trump's chances higher than the forecast from The Economist?
Resolved :
Yes
75 forecasters
13
39 comments
39
Will there be at least 10 fatalites caused in post-election political violence in the United States?
Resolved :
No
147 forecasters
17
67 comments
67
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
When will the next landslide presidential election happen in the United States?
2048-07-28
14 forecasters
9
1 comment
1
When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?
> 2052
57%
2044
12%
2052
11%
6 others
6
6 comments
6
When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?
2056-10-10
11 forecasters
1
5 comments
5
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