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Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
2%
125 forecasters
10
4 comments
4
Will there be a China-Russia war by 2035?
1%
223 forecasters
18
52 comments
52
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025?
1%
47 forecasters
7
no comments
0
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
Resolved :
No
112 forecasters
12
6 comments
6
When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?
2029-04-28
615 forecasters
66
112 comments
112
Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024?
Resolved :
No
178 forecasters
6
6 comments
6
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
1157 forecasters
237
1.9k comments
1.9k
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
What will be Putin's approval rating value 3 months after the potential invasion of Ukraine?
Resolved :
83
53 forecasters
8
12 comments
12
Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
1458 forecasters
108
209 comments
209
Ukraine Conflict
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023?
Resolved :
No
654 forecasters
22
62 comments
62
Ukraine Conflict
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