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Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
1%
Japan
1%
Ukraine
1%
6 others
11
16 comments
16
Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?
1%
44
288 comments
288
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?
1%
19
26 comments
26
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025?
1%
6
6 comments
6
Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
20%
27
51 comments
51
Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
10%
10
4 comments
4
When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?
2026-01-05
29
45 comments
45
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?
1%
20
122 comments
122
Will the US or EU seize Russian sovereign assets in 2024?
5%
8
3 comments
3
Will Russia and Ukraine sign or prolong natural gas transit deal before 2025?
1%
5
16 comments
16
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