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🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

2024 Electoral Consequences

Start DateAug 28, 2024
End DateDec 31, 2028
Questions37
This November, United States voters will decide between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. But what will be the tangible consequences of this decision? Where will it matter most and matter least?

Help cut through the noise of campaign promises and attack ads. Forecast the consequences of the election, and provide the public with a more nuanced understanding of the election's true stakes.

Are you new to Conditional Forecasting, where you predict the likelihood of one event given the outcome of another? These forecasts help clarify the relationship between outcomes. Learn more about Conditional Pairs.

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