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🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

Tournament

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

prize pool$10,000
Start DateJan 10, 2025
End DateDec 31, 2025
Questions36

Welcome to the ACX 2025 Predictions Contest!

Share your forecasts for the year ahead on questions spanning US politics, AI, international relations, cultural developments, and more. Submit your predictions by January 31st to help bring 2025 into focus while competing for an expanded $10,000 prize pool—a sizable increase from last year’s $2,500!

An annual forecasting tradition

What started as Scott Alexander publishing annual predictions on Slate Star Codex and later Astral Codex Ten has evolved into a vibrant forecasting community tradition. This contest offers both seasoned and aspiring forecasters a chance to refine their skills while tracking current events through a predictive lens. For 2025, Scott Alexander has once again partnered with Metaculus to host the competition.

Questions