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🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

Question Series

Future of AI

Start DateJan 31, 2024
End DateJan 2, 2048
Questions20

The Future of AI series builds on a set of key AI questions identified by Arb Research to provide more accurate models of future AI progress.

Share your forecasts and help contribute to more accurate aggregate predictions on critical open questions spanning frontier AI models, lab safety teams, the EU AI Act, and more.

We appreciate the research efforts of Gavin Leech, Nuño Sempere, David Mathers, and Misha Yagudin in identifying these questions. Find their full list here.

Note: Most questions in the series build on the above list. Some were previously published on Metaculus, but map onto Arb Research-identified questions.

Series Contents