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๐Ÿ“– The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Open!

The Astral Codex Ten Prediction Contest is back with an expanded $10,000 prize pool! Test your forecasting skills across geopolitics, technology, economics, and more with questions curated by Scott Alexander. Make your predictions by January 31 to compete.

๐Ÿ”ญ The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global โ€” Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm โ€” and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

Tournament

๐Ÿ† Quarterly Cup ๐Ÿ†

Start DateJan 13, 2025
End DateApr 7, 2025
Questions10
Welcome to the Quarterly Cup Tournament! Join us and make quick predictions on topical questions. Each week, a few new questions will be available to forecast on. All questions will resolve by the end of the quarter and questions will resolve throughout the quarter.

We welcome both new and experienced forecasters to participate. Beginners can learn how Metaculus works while veterans can showcase their expertise. Feel free to try your hand at question writing too!

Bots will also be making forecasts on copies of these questions in the AI Forecasting Benchmark Series. Can you beat the bots?

Questions