Welcome to Respiratory Outlook 2023/24: developing forecasts on the trajectories of influenza, COVID-19, and RSV for the 2023/24 respiratory disease season. This initiative builds on Metaculus’s previous contributions to the public health ecosystem while advancing the integration of new data science and hybrid intelligence techniques.

This program is designed to demonstrate the effectiveness of crowd forecasting in real-time decision-making, highlighting how it can aid public health officials in responding to ongoing epidemiological changes and better anticipating future conditions.

We greatly appreciate the forecasting community’s insights and expertise in this important public health initiative. Your predictions can help refine epidemiological models and support a more effective public health response this respiratory disease season.

This project is supported by the National Science Foundation under Award No. 2348262. Any opinions, findings and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this project are those of Metaculus and our forecasters, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.