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📖 The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Open!

The Astral Codex Ten Prediction Contest is back with an expanded $10,000 prize pool! Test your forecasting skills across geopolitics, technology, economics, and more with questions curated by Scott Alexander. Make your predictions by January 31 to compete.

🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

Question Series

Synthetic Biology at Scale

Start DateJul 3, 2024
End DateJan 1, 2052
Questions24
In early June 2024, Astera and Metaculus hosted the Scale Is All You Need Workshop, bringing together entrepreneurs, investors, and top forecasters to identify a set of innovations that could unlock new synthetic biology applications by making it easier for companies to scale. These questions are a modified subset of those created during the workshop, exploring the potential for research efforts to bring about dramatic advancements in synthetic biology applications.

Series Contents