Tournaments
Help the global community model, understand, and navigate the worldβs most important and complex challenges.
Prove your forecasting abilities, support effective policy and decision-making, and win cash prizes.
Learn how tournaments are scored.
Reach out to discuss launching a tournament on whatβs important to you.
Active Tournaments
π Quarterly Cup π
Closes Jan 8, 2025
52 Questions
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Closes Jul 2, 2026
30 Questions
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
$2,500 prize pool
Closes Feb 1, 2025
37 Questions
Chinese AI Chips
Closes Jan 2, 2033
26 Questions
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Closes Jul 1, 2025
31 Questions
Conditional Cup
Closes Dec 31, 2024
50 Questions
Climate Tipping Points
$5,000 prize pool
Closes Mar 1, 2027
43 Questions
π° The Sagan Space Tournament π°
$5,000 prize pool
Closes Jan 5, 2031
37 Questions
Forecasting Our World in Data
$20,000 prize pool
Closes May 1, 2027
32 Questions
Biosecurity Tournament
$25,000 prize pool
Closes Jan 2, 2025
36 Questions
Cultured Meat Tournament
Closes Dec 31, 2050
5 Questions
Question Series
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup
5 Questions
Forecast With GiveWell
12 Questions
Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
$30,000 prize pool
441 Questions
π½Forecast the State of the Union π½
17 Questions
The City of Gulf Breeze, Florida
2 Questions
University of West Florida
2 Questions
Situational Awareness
2 Questions
2024 Electoral Consequences
37 Questions
Abstraction β Curated by Jonathan Mann
1 Question
Conditional Trees: AI Risk
10 Questions
Nathan Young's Community
1 Question
Five Years After AGI
33 Questions
