1 comment
8 forecasters
Will the WHO report that the 2026 Ebola outbreak has spread to a 6th Congo province before September 1, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealedin 14 hours
%chance
0 comments
4 forecasters
Will the officially targeted launch month of the Nuri rocket be something other than October 2026, as of August 31, 2026?
10%chance
0 comments
7 forecasters
Who will be the largest Democratic donor in the 2026 cycle, as of September 1, 2026?
George Soros
Majority Forward
Other
8 comments
43 forecasters
Will a U.S. federal agency announce new or expanded model evaluation agreements with both OpenAI and Anthropic before September 3, 2026?
25%chance
1 comment
8 forecasters
Will any 2026 US-China AI agreement include semiconductor or compute export-control concessions?
10%chance
4 comments
51 forecasters
What will be the percentage change in the S&P 500 from close of Aug 26, 2026 to open of Aug 31, 2026?
Current estimate
0.288%
0 comments
4 forecasters
Who will be the largest Republican donor in the 2026 cycle, as of September 1, 2026?
Ben Horowitz & Marc Andreessen
Elon Musk
Jeff & Janine Yass
Miriam Adelson
2 others
0 comments
6 forecasters
How many active US drilling rigs will there be for the week ending August 28, 2026?
Current estimate
595 Rigs
7 comments
75 forecasters
How many vehicles will enter Sturgis for the 86th Annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally?
Current estimate
453k Vehicles
1 comment
50 forecasters
What will be the Boliviano-USD exchange rate on August 31, 2026?
Current estimate
11.7 Bs/USD
2 comments
1 forecaster
Will USTR publish a final overcapacity determination before September 24, 2026?
10%chance
2 comments
5 forecasters
Which coalition will govern following the 2026 Berlin state election?
R²G: SPD, Die Grünen, and Die Linke
Kenia: CDU, SPD, and Die Grünen
GroKo: CDU and SPD
Schwarz-Grün: CDU and Die Grünen
2 others