Posts List Oldapi View
We shared this request example with FAB participants: url_qparams = { "limit": count, "offset": offset, "has_group": "false", "order_by": "-activity", "forecast_type": "binary", "project": tournament_id, "status": "open", "type": "forecast", "include_description": "true", } url = f"{api_info.base_url}/questions/" response = requests.get( url, headers={"Authorization": f"Token {api_info.token}"}, params=url_qparams )
But we don't want to support all these parameters, and the ones relevant are: - order_by - status - project - forecast_type - we ignore this, but assume it's binary - FAB only supports binary for now.
GET /api2/questions/?format=api&offset=20
http://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/?format=api&limit=20&offset=40", "previous": "http://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/?format=api&limit=20", "results": [ { "id": 39955, "title": "Is it the case that Sunderland AFC and Aston Villa will finish their September 21 EPL match with identical scores?", "short_title": "Is it the case that Sunderland AFC and Aston Villa will finish their September 21 EPL match with identical scores?", "url_title": "Is it the case that Sunderland AFC and Aston Villa will finish their September 21 EPL match with identical scores?", "slug": "is-it-the-case-that-sunderland-afc-and-aston-villa-will-finish-their-september-21-epl-match-with-identical-scores", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:17.606565Z", "published_at": "2025-09-16T11:23:18Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-16T12:54:00.222092Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:17.880344Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-16T12:53:18Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-16T12:53:18Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-16T11:23:18Z", "nr_forecasters": 85, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39498, "title": "Is it the case that Sunderland AFC and Aston Villa will finish their September 21 EPL match with identical scores?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:17.606983Z", "open_time": "2025-09-16T11:23:18Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-16T12:53:18Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-16T12:53:18Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-16T12:53:18Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-16T12:53:18Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"1b68f078-07f9-49d2-92ec-3659ceac5698\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question pertains to the English Premier League fixture between Sunderland AFC and Aston Villa, set to commence at 9:00AM ET on September 21. Should the contest conclude with both teams having accumulated the same number of goals at the final whistle, the answer to this question will be \"Yes\". Conversely, if either side secures a victory, the answer will be \"No\". In the event that the match is delayed, the question will remain unresolved until the fixture is played. If the match is ultimately abandoned and not rescheduled, the answer will default to \"Yes\". All determinations will be based on the official result as recognized by the league.", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 39955, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1758026738.129535, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.28 ], "centers": [ 0.32 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.40714285714285714 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1758026738.129535, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.28 ], "centers": [ 0.32 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.40714285714285714 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.6799999999999999, 0.32 ], "means": [ 0.3962572362278245 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 11.0, 0.0, 9.0, 4.0, 6.0, 1.0, 2.0, 7.0, 1.0, 0.0, 2.0, 1.0, 3.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 4.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 6.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 87, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"1b68f078-07f9-49d2-92ec-3659ceac5698\"}}`" }, { "id": 39954, "title": "Will Arsenal secure a victory in their September 21, 2025 match?", "short_title": "Will Arsenal secure a victory in their September 21, 2025 match?", "url_title": "Will Arsenal secure a victory in their September 21, 2025 match?", "slug": "will-arsenal-secure-a-victory-in-their-september-21-2025-match", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:17.016907Z", "published_at": "2025-09-15T16:16:31Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-15T17:47:00.183363Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:17.318583Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T17:46:31Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T17:46:31Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-15T16:16:31Z", "nr_forecasters": 85, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39497, "title": "Will Arsenal secure a victory in their September 21, 2025 match?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:17.017332Z", "open_time": "2025-09-15T16:16:31Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-15T17:46:31Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-15T17:46:31Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T17:46:31Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T17:46:31Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"e34f3e12-12ae-4c11-94a5-eb23d271f79a\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question concerns the English Premier League fixture featuring Arsenal, set to commence at 11:30AM ET on September 21, 2025. The determination hinges exclusively on the result achieved by Arsenal within the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time. Should Arsenal emerge as the winner at the conclusion of this period, the answer will be 'Yes'. If Arsenal is defeated, the answer will be 'No'. In the event that the match is delayed, the question will remain unresolved until the fixture is played to completion. If the contest is called off and not rescheduled, the answer will be 'No'. Only the official result at the end of regulation and stoppage time will be considered; extra time or penalty shootouts are not relevant to this question.", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 39954, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1757958000.736549, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.42 ], "centers": [ 0.52 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.6 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1757958000.736549, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.42 ], "centers": [ 0.52 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.6 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.48, 0.52 ], "means": [ 0.5052722222222222 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 2.0, 0.0, 1.0, 3.0, 2.0, 1.0, 3.0, 0.0, 4.0, 0.0, 2.0, 1.0, 3.0, 8.0, 2.0, 2.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 1.0, 14.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 7.0, 0.0, 3.0, 1.0, 0.0, 3.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 5.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 88, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"e34f3e12-12ae-4c11-94a5-eb23d271f79a\"}}`" }, { "id": 39953, "title": "Will the scheduled September 21 Arsenal–Manchester City match conclude with both teams having identical scores?", "short_title": "Will the scheduled September 21 Arsenal–Manchester City match conclude with both teams having identical scores?", "url_title": "Will the scheduled September 21 Arsenal–Manchester City match conclude with both teams having identical scores?", "slug": "will-the-scheduled-september-21-arsenalmanchester-city-match-conclude-with-both-teams-having-identical-scores", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:16.272404Z", "published_at": "2025-09-16T05:04:42Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-16T06:35:00.166308Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:16.634116Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-16T06:34:42Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-16T06:34:42Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-16T05:04:42Z", "nr_forecasters": 86, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39496, "title": "Will the scheduled September 21 Arsenal–Manchester City match conclude with both teams having identical scores?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:16.272935Z", "open_time": "2025-09-16T05:04:42Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-16T06:34:42Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-16T06:34:42Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-16T06:34:42Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-16T06:34:42Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"68a8e9da-a58a-40c9-bd67-2d4921cf1a85\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question pertains to the English Premier League fixture between Arsenal and Manchester City, set to commence at 11:30AM ET on September 21. Should the contest finish with both sides having the same number of goals at the end of regulation time, the answer will be 'Yes'. If either team secures a victory, the answer will be 'No'. In the event that the match is delayed, the question will remain unresolved until the fixture is played. If the match is ultimately called off and not rescheduled, the answer will default to 'Yes'. All determinations will be based on the official result as recognized by the league.", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 39953, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1758004327.301858, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 86, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.25 ], "centers": [ 0.28 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.3 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1758004327.301858, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 86, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.25 ], "centers": [ 0.28 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.3 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.72, 0.28 ], "means": [ 0.3068478682170542 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 3.0, 0.0, 5.0, 13.0, 7.0, 6.0, 20.0, 1.0, 9.0, 2.0, 2.0, 2.0, 0.0, 5.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 89, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"68a8e9da-a58a-40c9-bd67-2d4921cf1a85\"}}`" }, { "id": 39952, "title": "Will Sunderland AFC secure a victory on September 21, 2025?", "short_title": "Will Sunderland AFC secure a victory on September 21, 2025?", "url_title": "Will Sunderland AFC secure a victory on September 21, 2025?", "slug": "will-sunderland-afc-secure-a-victory-on-september-21-2025", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:10.252950Z", "published_at": "2025-09-15T18:18:05Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-15T19:49:00.186369Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:10.872297Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T19:48:05Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T19:48:05Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-15T18:18:05Z", "nr_forecasters": 84, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39495, "title": "Will Sunderland AFC secure a victory on September 21, 2025?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:10.253361Z", "open_time": "2025-09-15T18:18:05Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-15T19:48:05Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-15T19:48:05Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T19:48:05Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T19:48:05Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"b5539a8c-9c86-4bf4-8634-3069aba8a1b9\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question concerns the English Premier League fixture featuring Sunderland AFC, set to commence at 9:00AM Eastern Time on September 21, 2025. The determination hinges exclusively on the result achieved by Sunderland AFC at the conclusion of the standard 90 minutes of play, including any additional stoppage time. Should Sunderland AFC emerge as the winner at that point, the answer will be 'Yes'. If they are defeated, the answer will be 'No'. In the event that the match is delayed, the question will remain unresolved until the contest is played. If the fixture is ultimately abandoned and not rescheduled, the answer will be 'No'. Only the official outcome at the end of regulation and stoppage time is relevant; extra time or penalty shootouts, if any, are disregarded.", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 39952, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1757964959.89266, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 84, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.28500000000000003 ], "centers": [ 0.35 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.395 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1757964959.89266, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 84, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.28500000000000003 ], "centers": [ 0.35 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.395 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.65, 0.35 ], "means": [ 0.34365939153439173 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 3.0, 6.0, 0.0, 10.0, 1.0, 4.0, 0.0, 3.0, 17.0, 2.0, 0.0, 3.0, 1.0, 5.0, 1.0, 2.0, 0.0, 1.0, 3.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 5.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 88, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"b5539a8c-9c86-4bf4-8634-3069aba8a1b9\"}}`" }, { "id": 39951, "title": "Will the Bournemouth versus Newcastle match scheduled for September 21 result in neither team winning?", "short_title": "Will the Bournemouth versus Newcastle match scheduled for September 21 result in neither team winning?", "url_title": "Will the Bournemouth versus Newcastle match scheduled for September 21 result in neither team winning?", "slug": "will-the-bournemouth-versus-newcastle-match-scheduled-for-september-21-result-in-neither-team-winning", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:09.244329Z", "published_at": "2025-09-15T19:27:13Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-15T20:58:00.158000Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:09.666625Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T20:57:13Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T20:57:13Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-15T19:27:13Z", "nr_forecasters": 84, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39494, "title": "Will the Bournemouth versus Newcastle match scheduled for September 21 result in neither team winning?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:09.244806Z", "open_time": "2025-09-15T19:27:13Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-15T20:57:13Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-15T20:57:13Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T20:57:13Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T20:57:13Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"97bb9998-635d-480a-a482-21efbcf10a60\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This inquiry concerns the English Premier League contest between Bournemouth and Newcastle, set for September 21 at 9:00AM ET. If, upon completion of the match, the final score is level and neither side emerges victorious, the response will be 'Yes'. Should one team finish with a higher score than the other, the response will be 'No'. In circumstances where the fixture is delayed, the question will remain unsettled until the match is played. If the event is permanently canceled and not replayed, the answer will be 'Yes'.", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 39951, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1757968974.758603, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 84, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.274 ], "centers": [ 0.29 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.325 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1757968974.758603, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 84, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.274 ], "centers": [ 0.29 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.325 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.71, 0.29 ], "means": [ 0.32382038926681794 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 3.0, 9.0, 6.0, 4.0, 24.0, 2.0, 12.0, 1.0, 2.0, 2.0, 1.0, 8.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 86, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"97bb9998-635d-480a-a482-21efbcf10a60\"}}`" }, { "id": 39950, "title": "Will Newcastle secure a victory in their English Premier League fixture on September 21, 2025?", "short_title": "Will Newcastle secure a victory in their English Premier League fixture on September 21, 2025?", "url_title": "Will Newcastle secure a victory in their English Premier League fixture on September 21, 2025?", "slug": "will-newcastle-secure-a-victory-in-their-english-premier-league-fixture-on-september-21-2025", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:08.193843Z", "published_at": "2025-09-16T01:33:24Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-16T03:04:00.307881Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:08.841646Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-16T03:03:24Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-16T03:03:24Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-16T01:33:24Z", "nr_forecasters": 82, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39493, "title": "Will Newcastle secure a victory in their English Premier League fixture on September 21, 2025?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:08.194269Z", "open_time": "2025-09-16T01:33:24Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-16T03:03:24Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-16T03:03:24Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-16T03:03:24Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-16T03:03:24Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"4bb06804-bd0f-4974-bfeb-599ab01af3a6\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question concerns the English Premier League contest featuring Newcastle, set to commence at 9:00AM Eastern Time on September 21, 2025. The determination hinges exclusively on the result achieved by Newcastle within the standard 90 minutes of play, including any additional stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Should Newcastle emerge as the winner at the conclusion of this period, the answer will be 'Yes'. If they are defeated, the answer will be 'No'. In the event that the match is delayed, the question will remain unresolved until the fixture is played. If the match is ultimately abandoned and not rescheduled, the answer will be 'No'. All outcomes are based solely on the official result as recognized at the end of regular time plus stoppage.", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 39950, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1757991018.79091, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 82, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.35 ], "centers": [ 0.4 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.48 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1757991018.79091, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 82, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.35 ], "centers": [ 0.4 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.48 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.6, 0.4 ], "means": [ 0.42602472899729 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 4.0, 4.0, 3.0, 8.0, 2.0, 3.0, 5.0, 1.0, 9.0, 2.0, 4.0, 0.0, 0.0, 6.0, 3.0, 0.0, 4.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 8.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 4.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 82, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"4bb06804-bd0f-4974-bfeb-599ab01af3a6\"}}`" }, { "id": 39949, "title": "Will Manchester City secure a victory on September 21, 2025?", "short_title": "Will Manchester City secure a victory on September 21, 2025?", "url_title": "Will Manchester City secure a victory on September 21, 2025?", "slug": "will-manchester-city-secure-a-victory-on-september-21-2025", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:07.391289Z", "published_at": "2025-09-16T11:29:10Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-16T13:00:00.246343Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:07.704960Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-16T12:59:10Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-16T12:59:10Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-16T11:29:10Z", "nr_forecasters": 85, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39492, "title": "Will Manchester City secure a victory on September 21, 2025?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:07.391701Z", "open_time": "2025-09-16T11:29:10Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-16T12:59:10Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-16T12:59:10Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-16T12:59:10Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-16T12:59:10Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"c0c62528-6d78-4bf7-98ca-46fe1130f5dc\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question pertains to the English Premier League fixture featuring Manchester City, set to commence at 11:30AM ET on September 21, 2025. The determination hinges on the official result at the conclusion of the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time. Should Manchester City be declared the winner at that point, the answer will be 'Yes'. If they are defeated, the answer will be 'No'. In the event the match is delayed, the question will remain unresolved until the fixture is played. If the contest is ultimately abandoned and not rescheduled, the answer will be 'No'. Only the outcome at the end of regulation and stoppage time is relevant; extra time or penalty shootouts, if any, are disregarded.", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 39949, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1758026559.917413, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.36 ], "centers": [ 0.5 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.65 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1758026559.917413, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.36 ], "centers": [ 0.5 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.65 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.5, 0.5 ], "means": [ 0.510172222222222 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 1.0, 2.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 2.0, 1.0, 1.0, 7.0, 4.0, 1.0, 3.0, 1.0, 4.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 1.0, 3.0, 1.0, 2.0, 1.0, 1.0, 3.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 8.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 3.0, 1.0, 3.0, 1.0, 0.0, 8.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 3.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 5.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 87, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"c0c62528-6d78-4bf7-98ca-46fe1130f5dc\"}}`" }, { "id": 39948, "title": "Will Aston Villa secure a victory on September 21, 2025?", "short_title": "Will Aston Villa secure a victory on September 21, 2025?", "url_title": "Will Aston Villa secure a victory on September 21, 2025?", "slug": "will-aston-villa-secure-a-victory-on-september-21-2025", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:06.726165Z", "published_at": "2025-09-15T17:17:18Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-15T18:48:00.178954Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:07.071963Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T18:47:18Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T18:47:18Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-15T17:17:18Z", "nr_forecasters": 84, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39491, "title": "Will Aston Villa secure a victory on September 21, 2025?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:06.726588Z", "open_time": "2025-09-15T17:17:18Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-15T18:47:18Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-15T18:47:18Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-23T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T18:47:18Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T18:47:18Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"0467f352-c5ee-4235-b223-005615193577\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question concerns the English Premier League fixture featuring Aston Villa, set to commence at 9:00AM Eastern Time on September 21, 2025. The determination hinges exclusively on the result achieved by Aston Villa during the standard 90 minutes of play, including any time added for stoppages. Should Aston Villa emerge as the winner at the conclusion of this period, the answer will be 'Yes'. If they are defeated, the answer will be 'No'. In the event that the match is delayed, the question will remain unresolved until the contest is played to completion. If the fixture is ultimately abandoned and not rescheduled, the answer will be 'No'. Only the official result at the end of regular time and stoppage time will be considered; extra time and penalty shootouts, if any, are disregarded.", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 39948, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1757961478.658526, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 84, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.25 ], "centers": [ 0.3 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.4225 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1757961478.658526, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 84, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.25 ], "centers": [ 0.3 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.4225 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.7, 0.3 ], "means": [ 0.3377549130763417 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 6.0, 0.0, 3.0, 1.0, 0.0, 16.0, 1.0, 0.0, 5.0, 1.0, 9.0, 1.0, 2.0, 0.0, 1.0, 5.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 3.0, 2.0, 2.0, 2.0, 2.0, 3.0, 0.0, 1.0, 3.0, 0.0, 3.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 87, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"0467f352-c5ee-4235-b223-005615193577\"}}`" }, { "id": 39947, "title": "Will PNR's market close price on 2025-09-26 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-18?", "short_title": "PNR's close price rises?", "url_title": "PNR's close price rises?", "slug": "pnrs-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:06.143155Z", "published_at": "2025-09-18T03:53:41Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T05:24:00.419110Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:06.416549Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-18T05:23:41Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-18T05:23:41Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-26T10:33:47Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-18T03:53:41Z", "nr_forecasters": 88, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39490, "title": "Will PNR's market close price on 2025-09-26 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-18?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:06.143570Z", "open_time": "2025-09-18T03:53:41Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-18T05:23:41Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-18T05:23:41Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-26T10:33:47Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-18T05:23:41Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-18T05:23:41Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Pentair plc is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is PNR. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:32) is 110.95. You can find more information about Pentair plc at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PNR\n\nPentair plc provides various water solutions in the United States, Western Europe, China, Eastern Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, Southeast Asia, Australia, Canada, and Japan. The company operates through three segments: Flow, Water Solutions, and Pool. The Flow segment designs, manufactures, and sells fluid treatment and pump products and systems, including pressure vessels, gas recovery solutions, membrane bioreactors, wastewater reuse systems and advanced membrane filtration, separation systems, water disposal pumps, water supply pumps, fluid transfer pumps, turbine pumps, solid handling pumps, and agricultural spray nozzles. This segment provides products under Pentair Flow, Aurora, Berkeley, Codeline, Fairbanks-Nijhuis, Haffmans, Hydromatic, Hypro, Jung Pumpen, Myers, Sta-Rite, Shurflo, Südmo, and X-Flow brand names. The Water Solutions segment offers commercial and residential water treatment products and systems, such as pressure tanks, control valves, activated carbon products, commercial ice machines, conventional filtration products, and point-of-entry and point-of-use water treatment systems for use in water filtration and water softening solutions, as well as commercial water management and filtration solutions in foodservice operations; and installation and preventative services for water management solutions for commercial operators under the Pentair Water Solutions, Everpure, Fleck, KBI, Manitowoc Ice, Pentek, and RainSoft brand names. The Pool segment provides residential and commercial pool equipment and accessories, including pumps, filters, heaters, lights, automatic controls, automatic cleaners, maintenance equipment, and pool accessories for residential and commercial pool maintenance, pool repair, renovation, service, construction, and aquaculture solutions. This segment offers products under the Pentair Pool, Kreepy Krauly, Pleatco, and Sta-Rite brand. Pentair plc was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"PNR\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of PNR. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39947, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1758171782.168167, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 88, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.5025 ], "centers": [ 0.54 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.58 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1758171782.168167, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 88, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.5025 ], "centers": [ 0.54 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.58 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.45999999999999996, 0.54 ], "means": [ 0.5389833152958153 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 3.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 5.0, 1.0, 0.0, 5.0, 2.0, 4.0, 2.0, 8.0, 8.0, 5.0, 13.0, 5.0, 4.0, 1.0, 0.0, 5.0, 0.0, 4.0, 1.0, 0.0, 9.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 88, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "Pentair plc is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is PNR. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:32) is 110.95. You can find more information about Pentair plc at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PNR\n\nPentair plc provides various water solutions in the United States, Western Europe, China, Eastern Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, Southeast Asia, Australia, Canada, and Japan. The company operates through three segments: Flow, Water Solutions, and Pool. The Flow segment designs, manufactures, and sells fluid treatment and pump products and systems, including pressure vessels, gas recovery solutions, membrane bioreactors, wastewater reuse systems and advanced membrane filtration, separation systems, water disposal pumps, water supply pumps, fluid transfer pumps, turbine pumps, solid handling pumps, and agricultural spray nozzles. This segment provides products under Pentair Flow, Aurora, Berkeley, Codeline, Fairbanks-Nijhuis, Haffmans, Hydromatic, Hypro, Jung Pumpen, Myers, Sta-Rite, Shurflo, Südmo, and X-Flow brand names. The Water Solutions segment offers commercial and residential water treatment products and systems, such as pressure tanks, control valves, activated carbon products, commercial ice machines, conventional filtration products, and point-of-entry and point-of-use water treatment systems for use in water filtration and water softening solutions, as well as commercial water management and filtration solutions in foodservice operations; and installation and preventative services for water management solutions for commercial operators under the Pentair Water Solutions, Everpure, Fleck, KBI, Manitowoc Ice, Pentek, and RainSoft brand names. The Pool segment provides residential and commercial pool equipment and accessories, including pumps, filters, heaters, lights, automatic controls, automatic cleaners, maintenance equipment, and pool accessories for residential and commercial pool maintenance, pool repair, renovation, service, construction, and aquaculture solutions. This segment offers products under the Pentair Pool, Kreepy Krauly, Pleatco, and Sta-Rite brand. Pentair plc was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"PNR\"}}`" }, { "id": 39946, "title": "Will STX's market close price on 2025-09-26 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-18?", "short_title": "STX's close price rises?", "url_title": "STX's close price rises?", "slug": "stxs-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:05.529983Z", "published_at": "2025-09-17T23:33:47Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T01:04:00.246363Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:05.834863Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-18T01:03:47Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-18T01:03:47Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-26T17:58:28Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-17T23:33:47Z", "nr_forecasters": 85, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39489, "title": "Will STX's market close price on 2025-09-26 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-18?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:05.530423Z", "open_time": "2025-09-17T23:33:47Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-18T01:03:47Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-18T01:03:47Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-26T17:58:28Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-18T01:03:47Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-18T01:03:47Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Seagate Technology Holdings plc is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is STX. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:30) is 195.99. You can find more information about Seagate Technology Holdings plc at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/STX\n\nSeagate Technology Holdings plc engages in the provision of data storage technology and infrastructure solutions in Singapore, the United States, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company offers mass capacity storage products, including enterprise nearline hard disk drives (HDDs), enterprise nearline solid state drives (SSDs), enterprise nearline systems, video and image HDDs, and network-attached storage drives. It also offers legacy applications comprising Mission Critical HDDs and SSDs; external storage solutions under the Seagate Ultra Touch, One Touch, Expansion, and Basics product lines, as well as under the LaCie brand name; desktop drives for personal computers and workstation applications; notebook drives traditional notebooks, convertible systems, and external storage applications, DVR HDDs for video streaming applications, and gaming SSDs for gaming rigs. In addition, the company provides Lyve edge-to-cloud mass capacity platform, that includes modular hardware and software to support enterprises' on-premise and cloud storage infrastructure needs. It sells its products primarily to original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and retailers. The company was founded in 1978 and is based in Singapore.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"STX\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of STX. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39946, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1758156907.11845, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.5 ], "centers": [ 0.55 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.58 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1758156907.11845, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.5 ], "centers": [ 0.55 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.58 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.44999999999999996, 0.55 ], "means": [ 0.5453977124183004 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 6.0, 0.0, 1.0, 5.0, 1.0, 5.0, 2.0, 4.0, 6.0, 3.0, 17.0, 3.0, 9.0, 0.0, 1.0, 8.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 5.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 85, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "Seagate Technology Holdings plc is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is STX. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:30) is 195.99. You can find more information about Seagate Technology Holdings plc at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/STX\n\nSeagate Technology Holdings plc engages in the provision of data storage technology and infrastructure solutions in Singapore, the United States, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company offers mass capacity storage products, including enterprise nearline hard disk drives (HDDs), enterprise nearline solid state drives (SSDs), enterprise nearline systems, video and image HDDs, and network-attached storage drives. It also offers legacy applications comprising Mission Critical HDDs and SSDs; external storage solutions under the Seagate Ultra Touch, One Touch, Expansion, and Basics product lines, as well as under the LaCie brand name; desktop drives for personal computers and workstation applications; notebook drives traditional notebooks, convertible systems, and external storage applications, DVR HDDs for video streaming applications, and gaming SSDs for gaming rigs. In addition, the company provides Lyve edge-to-cloud mass capacity platform, that includes modular hardware and software to support enterprises' on-premise and cloud storage infrastructure needs. It sells its products primarily to original equipment manufacturers, distributors, and retailers. The company was founded in 1978 and is based in Singapore.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"STX\"}}`" }, { "id": 39945, "title": "Will CME's market close price on 2025-09-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-15?", "short_title": "CME's close price rises?", "url_title": "CME's close price rises?", "slug": "cmes-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:04.896692Z", "published_at": "2025-09-15T11:32:14Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-15T13:03:00.159753Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:05.169940Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T13:02:14Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T13:02:14Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-27T19:35:51Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-15T11:32:14Z", "nr_forecasters": 85, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39488, "title": "Will CME's market close price on 2025-09-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-15?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:04.897149Z", "open_time": "2025-09-15T11:32:14Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-15T13:02:14Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-15T13:02:14Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-27T19:35:51Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T13:02:14Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T13:02:14Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "CME Group Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is CME. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:29) is 262.3. You can find more information about CME Group Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CME\n\nCME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, agricultural commodities, energy, and metals, as well as fixed income and foreign currency trading services. The company provides clearing house services, including clearing, settling, and guaranteeing futures and options contracts, and cleared swaps products traded through its exchanges; and trade processing and risk mitigation services. In addition, the company offers a range of market data services, including real-time and historical data services. It serves professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments, and central banks. The company was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CME Group Inc. in July 2007. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"CME\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of CME. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-15, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39945, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1757940273.39574, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.48 ], "centers": [ 0.53 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.555 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1757940273.39574, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.48 ], "centers": [ 0.53 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.555 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.47, 0.53 ], "means": [ 0.5255926237161532 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 4.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 3.0, 0.0, 2.0, 1.0, 1.0, 7.0, 1.0, 2.0, 6.0, 0.0, 4.0, 4.0, 7.0, 5.0, 3.0, 14.0, 1.0, 6.0, 0.0, 0.0, 5.0, 0.0, 2.0, 1.0, 0.0, 3.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 86, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "CME Group Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is CME. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:29) is 262.3. You can find more information about CME Group Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CME\n\nCME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. It offers futures and options products based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, agricultural commodities, energy, and metals, as well as fixed income and foreign currency trading services. The company provides clearing house services, including clearing, settling, and guaranteeing futures and options contracts, and cleared swaps products traded through its exchanges; and trade processing and risk mitigation services. In addition, the company offers a range of market data services, including real-time and historical data services. It serves professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments, and central banks. The company was formerly known as Chicago Mercantile Exchange Holdings Inc. and changed its name to CME Group Inc. in July 2007. The company was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"CME\"}}`" }, { "id": 39944, "title": "Will MKTX's market close price on 2025-09-25 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-18?", "short_title": "MKTX's close price rises?", "url_title": "MKTX's close price rises?", "slug": "mktxs-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:04.121894Z", "published_at": "2025-09-18T07:07:15Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T08:38:00.256088Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:04.520279Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-18T08:37:15Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-18T08:37:15Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-25T11:11:48Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-18T07:07:15Z", "nr_forecasters": 86, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39487, "title": "Will MKTX's market close price on 2025-09-25 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-18?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:04.122339Z", "open_time": "2025-09-18T07:07:15Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-18T08:37:15Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-18T08:37:15Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-25T11:11:48Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-18T08:37:15Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-18T08:37:15Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "MarketAxess Holdings Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is MKTX. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:27) is 184.85. You can find more information about MarketAxess Holdings Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MKTX\n\nMarketAxess Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates an electronic trading platform for institutional investor and broker-dealer firms in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers trading technology to access liquidity on its platforms in U.S. high-grade bonds, U.S. high-yield bonds, emerging market debt, eurobonds, municipal bonds, U.S. government bonds, and other fixed-income securities; and executes bond trades between and among institutional investor and broker-dealer clients in an all-to-all anonymous trading environment for corporate bonds through its Open Trading protocols. It also provides automated and algorithmic trading solutions, such as X-Pro, a trading platform to combine trading protocols with its proprietary data and pre-trade analytics; and integrated and actionable data offerings, including CP+ and Axess All, a real-time pricing engine, including Auto-X and portfolio trading. In addition, the company offers various pre-and post-trade services, such as processing, trade matching, trade publication, regulatory transaction reporting, and market and reference data across a range of fixed-income and other products. MarketAxess Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in New York, New York.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"MKTX\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of MKTX. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39944, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1758184631.368317, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 86, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.48 ], "centers": [ 0.53 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.55 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1758184631.368317, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 86, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.48 ], "centers": [ 0.53 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.55 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.47, 0.53 ], "means": [ 0.5210108850129199 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 2.0, 8.0, 2.0, 1.0, 4.0, 3.0, 3.0, 7.0, 6.0, 4.0, 2.0, 18.0, 6.0, 8.0, 0.0, 0.0, 6.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 88, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "MarketAxess Holdings Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is MKTX. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:27) is 184.85. You can find more information about MarketAxess Holdings Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MKTX\n\nMarketAxess Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates an electronic trading platform for institutional investor and broker-dealer firms in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers trading technology to access liquidity on its platforms in U.S. high-grade bonds, U.S. high-yield bonds, emerging market debt, eurobonds, municipal bonds, U.S. government bonds, and other fixed-income securities; and executes bond trades between and among institutional investor and broker-dealer clients in an all-to-all anonymous trading environment for corporate bonds through its Open Trading protocols. It also provides automated and algorithmic trading solutions, such as X-Pro, a trading platform to combine trading protocols with its proprietary data and pre-trade analytics; and integrated and actionable data offerings, including CP+ and Axess All, a real-time pricing engine, including Auto-X and portfolio trading. In addition, the company offers various pre-and post-trade services, such as processing, trade matching, trade publication, regulatory transaction reporting, and market and reference data across a range of fixed-income and other products. MarketAxess Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in New York, New York.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"MKTX\"}}`" }, { "id": 39943, "title": "Will FDX's market close price on 2025-09-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-16?", "short_title": "FDX's close price rises?", "url_title": "FDX's close price rises?", "slug": "fdxs-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:03.250864Z", "published_at": "2025-09-16T11:04:35Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-16T12:35:00.198303Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:03.739015Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-16T12:34:35Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-16T12:34:35Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-27T19:07:12Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-16T11:04:35Z", "nr_forecasters": 85, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39486, "title": "Will FDX's market close price on 2025-09-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-16?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:03.251286Z", "open_time": "2025-09-16T11:04:35Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-16T12:34:35Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-16T12:34:35Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-27T19:07:12Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-16T12:34:35Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-16T12:34:35Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "FedEx Corporation is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is FDX. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:26) is 229.55. You can find more information about FedEx Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/FDX\n\nFedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. It operates through Federal Express and FedEx Freight segments. The company offers transportation services, including express, freight, less-than-truckload freight, and time-specific freight-shipping; and small-package ground delivery services. It also provides e-commerce and digital solutions; dataworks; printing and shipping management, including digital printing, professional finishing, document creation, design solutions, direct mail, signs and graphics, custom-branded boxes, copying, computer rental, free Wi-Fi, corporate print solutions, shredding, expedited U.S. passport processing and renewal, and digital notarization; packing services, as well as packing supplies and boxes; document and business services; and retail access for package transportation. In addition, the company offers logistics services, air and ocean freight-forwarding and cargo transportation, specialty transportation, customs brokerage and clearance, trade management tools and data, and door-to-door solutions; and third party logistics and supply chain management solutions, such as inbound logistics, warehousing and distribution, fulfillment, contract packaging and product configuration, systems integration, returns process and disposition, test, repair, refurbishment, and product liquidation. Further, it provides sales, marketing, administrative, information technology, and back-office support services. FedEx Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"FDX\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of FDX. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-16, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39943, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1758025582.160781, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.51 ], "centers": [ 0.55 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.57 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1758025582.160781, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.51 ], "centers": [ 0.55 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.57 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.44999999999999996, 0.55 ], "means": [ 0.5371905882352943 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 5.0, 1.0, 1.0, 3.0, 0.0, 5.0, 3.0, 8.0, 2.0, 5.0, 19.0, 7.0, 5.0, 0.0, 1.0, 8.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 87, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "FedEx Corporation is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is FDX. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:26) is 229.55. You can find more information about FedEx Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/FDX\n\nFedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. It operates through Federal Express and FedEx Freight segments. The company offers transportation services, including express, freight, less-than-truckload freight, and time-specific freight-shipping; and small-package ground delivery services. It also provides e-commerce and digital solutions; dataworks; printing and shipping management, including digital printing, professional finishing, document creation, design solutions, direct mail, signs and graphics, custom-branded boxes, copying, computer rental, free Wi-Fi, corporate print solutions, shredding, expedited U.S. passport processing and renewal, and digital notarization; packing services, as well as packing supplies and boxes; document and business services; and retail access for package transportation. In addition, the company offers logistics services, air and ocean freight-forwarding and cargo transportation, specialty transportation, customs brokerage and clearance, trade management tools and data, and door-to-door solutions; and third party logistics and supply chain management solutions, such as inbound logistics, warehousing and distribution, fulfillment, contract packaging and product configuration, systems integration, returns process and disposition, test, repair, refurbishment, and product liquidation. Further, it provides sales, marketing, administrative, information technology, and back-office support services. FedEx Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"FDX\"}}`" }, { "id": 39942, "title": "Will WM's market close price on 2025-09-24 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-15?", "short_title": "WM's close price rises?", "url_title": "WM's close price rises?", "slug": "wms-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:02.661580Z", "published_at": "2025-09-15T15:28:48Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-15T16:59:00.184081Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:02.963105Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T16:58:48Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T16:58:48Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-24T16:15:44Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-15T15:28:48Z", "nr_forecasters": 84, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39485, "title": "Will WM's market close price on 2025-09-24 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-15?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:02.661992Z", "open_time": "2025-09-15T15:28:48Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-15T16:58:48Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-15T16:58:48Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-24T16:15:44Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T16:58:48Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T16:58:48Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Waste Management, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is WM. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:24) is 218.16. You can find more information about Waste Management, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WM\n\nWaste Management, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides environmental solutions to residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers in the United States, Canada, Western Europe, and internationally. It offers collection services, including picking up and transporting waste and recyclable materials from where it was generated to a transfer station, recovery facility, or disposal site; owns and operates transfer stations; and owns, develops, and operates landfill gas-to-energy facilities that produce renewable electricity and renewable natural gas. It also operates materials processing and commodities recycling services, including cardboard, paper, glass, metals, plastics, construction and demolition materials, and other recycling commodities are recovered for resale or redirected for other purposes; recycling brokerage services, such as managing the marketing of recyclable materials for third parties; and other strategic business solutions. In addition, the company collects recyclable food and yard waste, as well as markets and sells mulch, compost, soil amendments, and renewable energy; offers remediation and construction, and industrial waste services; and manages and markets fly ash. Further, it provides Regulated Waste and Compliance Services (RWCS), which offers compliance programs, as well as collection, processing, and disposal of regulated and specialized waste, including medical, pharmaceutical, and hazardous waste; and Secure Information Destruction (SID) services that includes the collection of personal and confidential information for secure destruction and recycling of sorted office paper. The company was formerly known as USA Waste Services, Inc. and changed its name to Waste Management, Inc. in 1998. Waste Management, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is based in Houston, Texas.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"WM\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of WM. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-15, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39942, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1757955522.704273, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 84, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.505 ], "centers": [ 0.55 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.6 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1757955522.704273, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 84, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.505 ], "centers": [ 0.55 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.6 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.44999999999999996, 0.55 ], "means": [ 0.5513352229780801 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 4.0, 2.0, 0.0, 7.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 7.0, 5.0, 4.0, 7.0, 5.0, 2.0, 1.0, 2.0, 13.0, 0.0, 3.0, 1.0, 0.0, 8.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 86, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "Waste Management, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is WM. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:24) is 218.16. You can find more information about Waste Management, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WM\n\nWaste Management, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides environmental solutions to residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers in the United States, Canada, Western Europe, and internationally. It offers collection services, including picking up and transporting waste and recyclable materials from where it was generated to a transfer station, recovery facility, or disposal site; owns and operates transfer stations; and owns, develops, and operates landfill gas-to-energy facilities that produce renewable electricity and renewable natural gas. It also operates materials processing and commodities recycling services, including cardboard, paper, glass, metals, plastics, construction and demolition materials, and other recycling commodities are recovered for resale or redirected for other purposes; recycling brokerage services, such as managing the marketing of recyclable materials for third parties; and other strategic business solutions. In addition, the company collects recyclable food and yard waste, as well as markets and sells mulch, compost, soil amendments, and renewable energy; offers remediation and construction, and industrial waste services; and manages and markets fly ash. Further, it provides Regulated Waste and Compliance Services (RWCS), which offers compliance programs, as well as collection, processing, and disposal of regulated and specialized waste, including medical, pharmaceutical, and hazardous waste; and Secure Information Destruction (SID) services that includes the collection of personal and confidential information for secure destruction and recycling of sorted office paper. The company was formerly known as USA Waste Services, Inc. and changed its name to Waste Management, Inc. in 1998. Waste Management, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is based in Houston, Texas.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"WM\"}}`" }, { "id": 39941, "title": "Will VMC's market close price on 2025-09-24 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-16?", "short_title": "VMC's close price rises?", "url_title": "VMC's close price rises?", "slug": "vmcs-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:02.059506Z", "published_at": "2025-09-16T16:37:08Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-16T18:08:00.147800Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:02.351367Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-16T18:07:08Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-16T18:07:08Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-24T16:12:57Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-16T16:37:08Z", "nr_forecasters": 85, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39484, "title": "Will VMC's market close price on 2025-09-24 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-16?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:02.059967Z", "open_time": "2025-09-16T16:37:08Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-16T18:07:08Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-16T18:07:08Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-24T16:12:57Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-16T18:07:08Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-16T18:07:08Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Vulcan Materials Company is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is VMC. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:23) is 294.94. You can find more information about Vulcan Materials Company at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/VMC\n\nVulcan Materials Company produces and supplies construction aggregates in the United States. It operates through three segments: Aggregates, Asphalt, and Concrete. The company provides crushed stone, sand and gravel, sand, riprap and jetty stones, and other aggregates for use in construction and maintenance of highways, streets, and other public works, as well as in the construction of housing and commercial, industrial, and other nonresidential facilities; asphalt mix; asphalt construction paving services; and ready-mixed concrete products. The company was formerly known as Virginia Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to Vulcan Materials Company. Vulcan Materials Company was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"VMC\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of VMC. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-16, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39941, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1758045286.214496, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.52 ], "centers": [ 0.55 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.6 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1758045286.214496, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.52 ], "centers": [ 0.55 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.6 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.44999999999999996, 0.55 ], "means": [ 0.554092973856209 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 8.0, 1.0, 0.0, 4.0, 0.0, 2.0, 1.0, 7.0, 6.0, 6.0, 12.0, 5.0, 6.0, 0.0, 0.0, 7.0, 0.0, 4.0, 1.0, 0.0, 9.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 88, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "Vulcan Materials Company is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is VMC. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:23) is 294.94. You can find more information about Vulcan Materials Company at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/VMC\n\nVulcan Materials Company produces and supplies construction aggregates in the United States. It operates through three segments: Aggregates, Asphalt, and Concrete. The company provides crushed stone, sand and gravel, sand, riprap and jetty stones, and other aggregates for use in construction and maintenance of highways, streets, and other public works, as well as in the construction of housing and commercial, industrial, and other nonresidential facilities; asphalt mix; asphalt construction paving services; and ready-mixed concrete products. The company was formerly known as Virginia Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to Vulcan Materials Company. Vulcan Materials Company was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"VMC\"}}`" }, { "id": 39940, "title": "Will WFC's market close price on 2025-09-25 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-18?", "short_title": "WFC's close price rises?", "url_title": "WFC's close price rises?", "slug": "wfcs-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:01.441980Z", "published_at": "2025-09-18T00:55:21Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T02:26:00.212295Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:01.761947Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-18T02:25:21Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-18T02:25:21Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-25T03:32:05Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-18T00:55:21Z", "nr_forecasters": 82, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39483, "title": "Will WFC's market close price on 2025-09-25 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-18?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:01.442421Z", "open_time": "2025-09-18T00:55:21Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-18T02:25:21Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-18T02:25:21Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-25T03:32:05Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-18T02:25:21Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-18T02:25:21Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Wells Fargo & Company is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is WFC. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:21) is 81.46. You can find more information about Wells Fargo & Company at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WFC\n\nWells Fargo & Company, a financial services company, provides diversified banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking; and Wealth and Investment Management. The Consumer Banking and Lending segment offers diversified financial products and services for consumers and small businesses. Its financial products and services include checking and savings accounts, and credit and debit cards, as well as home, auto, personal, and small business lending services. The Commercial Banking segment provides financial solutions to private, family owned, and certain public companies. Its products and services include banking and credit products across various industry sectors and municipalities, secured lending and lease products, and treasury management services. The Corporate and Investment Banking segment offers a suite of capital markets, banking, and financial products and services, such as corporate banking, investment banking, treasury management, commercial real estate lending and servicing, equity, and fixed income solutions, as well as sales, trading, and research capabilities services to corporate, commercial real estate, government, and institutional clients. The Wealth and Investment Management segment provides personalized wealth management, brokerage, financial planning, lending, private banking, and trust and fiduciary products and services to affluent, high-net worth, and ultra-high-net worth clients. It also operates through financial advisors in brokerage and wealth offices, consumer bank branches, independent offices, and digitally through WellsTrade and Intuitive Investor. Wells Fargo & Company was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"WFC\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of WFC. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39940, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1758162262.979001, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 82, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.5225 ], "centers": [ 0.56 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.6 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1758162262.979001, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 82, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.5225 ], "centers": [ 0.56 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.6 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.43999999999999995, 0.56 ], "means": [ 0.5688491095625237 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 3.0, 4.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0, 3.0, 2.0, 12.0, 4.0, 10.0, 0.0, 1.0, 9.0, 0.0, 4.0, 0.0, 0.0, 12.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 82, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "Wells Fargo & Company is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is WFC. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:21) is 81.46. You can find more information about Wells Fargo & Company at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WFC\n\nWells Fargo & Company, a financial services company, provides diversified banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking; and Wealth and Investment Management. The Consumer Banking and Lending segment offers diversified financial products and services for consumers and small businesses. Its financial products and services include checking and savings accounts, and credit and debit cards, as well as home, auto, personal, and small business lending services. The Commercial Banking segment provides financial solutions to private, family owned, and certain public companies. Its products and services include banking and credit products across various industry sectors and municipalities, secured lending and lease products, and treasury management services. The Corporate and Investment Banking segment offers a suite of capital markets, banking, and financial products and services, such as corporate banking, investment banking, treasury management, commercial real estate lending and servicing, equity, and fixed income solutions, as well as sales, trading, and research capabilities services to corporate, commercial real estate, government, and institutional clients. The Wealth and Investment Management segment provides personalized wealth management, brokerage, financial planning, lending, private banking, and trust and fiduciary products and services to affluent, high-net worth, and ultra-high-net worth clients. It also operates through financial advisors in brokerage and wealth offices, consumer bank branches, independent offices, and digitally through WellsTrade and Intuitive Investor. Wells Fargo & Company was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"WFC\"}}`" }, { "id": 39939, "title": "Will TSLA's market close price on 2025-09-25 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-18?", "short_title": "TSLA's close price rises?", "url_title": "TSLA's close price rises?", "slug": "tslas-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:00.789731Z", "published_at": "2025-09-18T18:54:22Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T20:25:00.349027Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:01.066138Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-18T20:24:22Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-18T20:24:22Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-25T20:22:23Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-18T18:54:22Z", "nr_forecasters": 85, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39482, "title": "Will TSLA's market close price on 2025-09-25 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-18?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:00.790194Z", "open_time": "2025-09-18T18:54:22Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-18T20:24:22Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-18T20:24:22Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-25T20:22:23Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-18T20:24:22Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-18T20:24:22Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Tesla, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is TSLA. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:20) is 395.94. You can find more information about Tesla, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA\n\nTesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty after-sales vehicle, used vehicles, body shop and parts, supercharging, retail merchandise, and vehicle insurance services. This segment also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. The Energy Generation and Storage segment engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners. This segment also provides services and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty; and various financing options to its residential customers. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"TSLA\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of TSLA. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39939, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1758224838.264327, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.503 ], "centers": [ 0.55 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.58 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1758224838.264327, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.503 ], "centers": [ 0.55 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.58 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.44999999999999996, 0.55 ], "means": [ 0.5425751633986928 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 5.0, 1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 1.0, 6.0, 2.0, 4.0, 5.0, 2.0, 22.0, 4.0, 6.0, 0.0, 1.0, 7.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 5.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 85, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "Tesla, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is TSLA. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:20) is 395.94. You can find more information about Tesla, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA\n\nTesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty after-sales vehicle, used vehicles, body shop and parts, supercharging, retail merchandise, and vehicle insurance services. This segment also provides sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct and used vehicle sales, a network of Tesla Superchargers, and in-app upgrades; purchase financing and leasing services; services for electric vehicles through its company-owned service locations and Tesla mobile service technicians; and vehicle limited warranties and extended service plans. The Energy Generation and Storage segment engages in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and utilities through its website, stores, and galleries, as well as through a network of channel partners. This segment also provides services and repairs to its energy product customers, including under warranty; and various financing options to its residential customers. The company was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Tesla, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"TSLA\"}}`" }, { "id": 39938, "title": "Will EVRG's market close price on 2025-09-24 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-15?", "short_title": "EVRG's close price rises?", "url_title": "EVRG's close price rises?", "slug": "evrgs-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:41:59.991397Z", "published_at": "2025-09-15T15:00:27Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-15T16:31:00.199592Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:42:00.391031Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T16:30:27Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T16:30:27Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-24T23:51:56Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-15T15:00:27Z", "nr_forecasters": 81, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39481, "title": "Will EVRG's market close price on 2025-09-24 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-15?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:41:59.991792Z", "open_time": "2025-09-15T15:00:27Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-15T16:30:27Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-15T16:30:27Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-24T23:51:56Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T16:30:27Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T16:30:27Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Evergy, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is EVRG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:18) is 72.52. You can find more information about Evergy, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EVRG\n\nEvergy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity in the United States. It generates electricity through coal, landfill gas, uranium, and natural gas and oil sources, as well as solar, wind, other renewable sources. The company serves residences, commercial firms, industrials, municipalities, and other electric utilities. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"EVRG\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of EVRG. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-15, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39938, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1757953772.998866, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 81, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.45 ], "centers": [ 0.52 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.55 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1757953772.998866, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 81, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.45 ], "centers": [ 0.52 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.55 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.48, 0.52 ], "means": [ 0.5049270429159318 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 5.0, 0.0, 3.0, 0.0, 1.0, 11.0, 1.0, 0.0, 8.0, 2.0, 5.0, 1.0, 4.0, 5.0, 7.0, 15.0, 1.0, 4.0, 0.0, 0.0, 4.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 83, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "Evergy, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is EVRG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:18) is 72.52. You can find more information about Evergy, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EVRG\n\nEvergy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity in the United States. It generates electricity through coal, landfill gas, uranium, and natural gas and oil sources, as well as solar, wind, other renewable sources. The company serves residences, commercial firms, industrials, municipalities, and other electric utilities. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"EVRG\"}}`" }, { "id": 39937, "title": "Will BK's market close price on 2025-09-25 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-17?", "short_title": "BK's close price rises?", "url_title": "BK's close price rises?", "slug": "bks-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:41:59.318171Z", "published_at": "2025-09-17T15:25:36Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-17T16:56:00.372452Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:41:59.591168Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-17T16:55:36Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-17T16:55:36Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-25T15:34:18Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-17T15:25:36Z", "nr_forecasters": 83, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39480, "title": "Will BK's market close price on 2025-09-25 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-17?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:41:59.318599Z", "open_time": "2025-09-17T15:25:36Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-17T16:55:36Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-17T16:55:36Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-25T15:34:18Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-17T16:55:36Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-17T16:55:36Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is BK. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:17) is 106.48. You can find more information about The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BK\n\nThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation provides a range of financial products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through Securities Services, Market and Wealth Services, Investment and Wealth Management, and Other segments. The Securities Services segment offers custody, trust and depositary, accounting, exchange-traded funds, middle-office solutions, transfer agency, services for private equity and real estate funds, foreign exchange, securities lending, liquidity/lending services, and data analytics. This segment also provides trustee, paying agency, fiduciary, escrow and other financial, issuer, and support services for brokers and investors. The Market and Wealth Services segment offers clearing and custody, investment, wealth and retirement solutions, technology and enterprise data management, trading, and prime brokerage services. This segment also provides integrated cash management solutions, including payments, foreign exchange, liquidity management, receivables processing, payables management, and trade finance, as well as U.S. government and global clearing, and tri-party services. The Investment and Wealth Management segment offers investment management strategies, investment products distribution, investment management, custody, wealth and estate planning, private banking, investment, and information management services. The Other segment provides leasing, corporate treasury, derivative and other trading, corporate and bank-owned life insurance, tax credit investment, other corporate investment, and business exit services. The company serves central banks and sovereigns, financial institutions, asset managers, insurance companies, corporations, local authorities and high net-worth individuals, and family offices. The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation was founded in 1784 and is headquartered in New York, New York.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"BK\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of BK. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-17, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39937, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1758126077.171092, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 83, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.48 ], "centers": [ 0.52 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.55 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1758126077.171092, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 83, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.48 ], "centers": [ 0.52 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.55 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.48, 0.52 ], "means": [ 0.526506463951042 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 10.0, 0.0, 2.0, 8.0, 1.0, 7.0, 3.0, 10.0, 2.0, 5.0, 13.0, 3.0, 3.0, 0.0, 1.0, 6.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 4.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 83, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is BK. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:17) is 106.48. You can find more information about The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BK\n\nThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation provides a range of financial products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through Securities Services, Market and Wealth Services, Investment and Wealth Management, and Other segments. The Securities Services segment offers custody, trust and depositary, accounting, exchange-traded funds, middle-office solutions, transfer agency, services for private equity and real estate funds, foreign exchange, securities lending, liquidity/lending services, and data analytics. This segment also provides trustee, paying agency, fiduciary, escrow and other financial, issuer, and support services for brokers and investors. The Market and Wealth Services segment offers clearing and custody, investment, wealth and retirement solutions, technology and enterprise data management, trading, and prime brokerage services. This segment also provides integrated cash management solutions, including payments, foreign exchange, liquidity management, receivables processing, payables management, and trade finance, as well as U.S. government and global clearing, and tri-party services. The Investment and Wealth Management segment offers investment management strategies, investment products distribution, investment management, custody, wealth and estate planning, private banking, investment, and information management services. The Other segment provides leasing, corporate treasury, derivative and other trading, corporate and bank-owned life insurance, tax credit investment, other corporate investment, and business exit services. The company serves central banks and sovereigns, financial institutions, asset managers, insurance companies, corporations, local authorities and high net-worth individuals, and family offices. The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation was founded in 1784 and is headquartered in New York, New York.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"BK\"}}`" }, { "id": 39936, "title": "Will RVTY's market close price on 2025-09-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-15?", "short_title": "RVTY's close price rises?", "url_title": "RVTY's close price rises?", "slug": "rvtys-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:41:58.717534Z", "published_at": "2025-09-15T16:49:54Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-15T18:20:00.329463Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-09-15T09:41:59.026362Z", "comment_count": 0, "status": "closed", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T18:19:54Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T18:19:54Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-27T17:44:38Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "open_time": "2025-09-15T16:49:54Z", "nr_forecasters": 85, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32830, "type": "question_series", "name": "MiniBench", "slug": "minibench", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "1000.00", "start_date": "2025-09-15T07:59:50.694518Z", "close_date": "2025-10-04T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-09-18T22:02:01Z", "html_metadata_json": null, "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-09-15T07:59:52.625497Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-18T21:28:20.678965Z", "score_type": "spot_peer", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "unlisted", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "include" } }, "question": { "id": 39479, "title": "Will RVTY's market close price on 2025-09-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-15?", "created_at": "2025-09-15T09:41:58.717994Z", "open_time": "2025-09-15T16:49:54Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-09-15T18:19:54Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-09-15T18:19:54Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-27T17:44:38Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2025-09-15T18:19:54Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-09-15T18:19:54Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "closed", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Revvity, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is RVTY. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:15) is 82.87. You can find more information about Revvity, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/RVTY\n\nRevvity, Inc. provides health sciences solutions, technologies, and services. The company provides instruments, reagents, informatics, software, subscriptions, detection, imaging technologies, warranties, training, and DNA sequencing services; and instruments, reagents, assay platforms, and software products for the early detection of genetic disorders, such as pregnancy and early childhood, as well as infectious disease testing in the diagnostics market. Its products are used for testing and screening genetic abnormalities, disorders, and diseases, including down syndrome, hypothyroidism, muscular dystrophy, infertility, and various metabolic conditions. The company also develops technologies that enable and support genomic workflows using protein coupled receptor and next-generation DNA sequencing for oncology, screening newborns for rare genetic conditions, immunodiagnostics, and drug discovery. It serves pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, laboratories, academic and research institutions, public health authorities, private healthcare organizations, doctors, and government agencies under the AutoDELFIA, BACS-on-Beads, BIOCHIPs, Bioo Scientific, BioQule, BoBs, chemagic, Chitas, DELFIA, DELFIA Xpress, DOPlify, EONIS, EUROArray, EUROIMMUN, EUROLabWorkstation, EUROLINE, EUROPatternTM, Evolution Evoya, explorer, Fontus, GSP, Haoyuan, IDS Immunodiagnosticsystems, IDS-i10, IDS-i10T, IDS-iSYS, iLab, iQ, JANUS, LabChip, LifeCycle, LimsLink, Migele, MultiPROBE, NEXTFLEX, NextPrep, Omni Bead Ruptor, Omni Bead Ruptor Elite, Omni Tip, Pannoramic, Panthera Puncher, PG-Seq, PG-Find, PreNAT II, Prime, Protein Clear, ProteinEXact, QuantiVac, RONIA, Sciclone, SimplicityChrom, Specimen Gate, Superflex, Symbio, T-SPOT, Touch, Twister, Vanadis, VariSpec, ViaCord, VICTOR2D, and Zephyr names. The company was formerly known as PerkinElmer, Inc. and changed its name to Revvity, Inc. in April 2023. Revvity, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"RVTY\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of RVTY. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-09-15, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. Forecasts on questions about companies that have been delisted (through mergers or bankruptcy) will resolve to their final close price.", "post_id": 39936, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1757959537.866758, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.45 ], "centers": [ 0.5033333333333334 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.55 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1757959537.866758, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 85, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.45 ], "centers": [ 0.5033333333333334 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.55 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.4966666666666666, 0.5033333333333334 ], "means": [ 0.49524830065359493 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 6.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 6.0, 0.0, 3.0, 0.0, 3.0, 8.0, 2.0, 4.0, 4.0, 1.0, 3.0, 2.0, 8.0, 4.0, 3.0, 17.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 3.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 88, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "Revvity, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is RVTY. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-09-15 09:32:15) is 82.87. You can find more information about Revvity, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/RVTY\n\nRevvity, Inc. provides health sciences solutions, technologies, and services. The company provides instruments, reagents, informatics, software, subscriptions, detection, imaging technologies, warranties, training, and DNA sequencing services; and instruments, reagents, assay platforms, and software products for the early detection of genetic disorders, such as pregnancy and early childhood, as well as infectious disease testing in the diagnostics market. Its products are used for testing and screening genetic abnormalities, disorders, and diseases, including down syndrome, hypothyroidism, muscular dystrophy, infertility, and various metabolic conditions. The company also develops technologies that enable and support genomic workflows using protein coupled receptor and next-generation DNA sequencing for oncology, screening newborns for rare genetic conditions, immunodiagnostics, and drug discovery. It serves pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, laboratories, academic and research institutions, public health authorities, private healthcare organizations, doctors, and government agencies under the AutoDELFIA, BACS-on-Beads, BIOCHIPs, Bioo Scientific, BioQule, BoBs, chemagic, Chitas, DELFIA, DELFIA Xpress, DOPlify, EONIS, EUROArray, EUROIMMUN, EUROLabWorkstation, EUROLINE, EUROPatternTM, Evolution Evoya, explorer, Fontus, GSP, Haoyuan, IDS Immunodiagnosticsystems, IDS-i10, IDS-i10T, IDS-iSYS, iLab, iQ, JANUS, LabChip, LifeCycle, LimsLink, Migele, MultiPROBE, NEXTFLEX, NextPrep, Omni Bead Ruptor, Omni Bead Ruptor Elite, Omni Tip, Pannoramic, Panthera Puncher, PG-Seq, PG-Find, PreNAT II, Prime, Protein Clear, ProteinEXact, QuantiVac, RONIA, Sciclone, SimplicityChrom, Specimen Gate, Superflex, Symbio, T-SPOT, Touch, Twister, Vanadis, VariSpec, ViaCord, VICTOR2D, and Zephyr names. The company was formerly known as PerkinElmer, Inc. and changed its name to Revvity, Inc. in April 2023. Revvity, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"RVTY\"}}`" } ] }{ "count": 5960, "next": "