| 133.044 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| 109.948 | How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024? | Continuous |
| 98.977 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 98.742 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 98.709 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 98.705 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 98.547 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 98.547 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 98.547 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 98.477 | Will Jair Bolsonaro successfully stage a coup by January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 98.419 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 98.411 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 98.318 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (United States) | Binary |
| 98.318 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Brazil) | Binary |
| 98.117 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 98.098 | Will the Duke or Duchess of Sussex file for divorce before Mar 8, 2022? | Binary |
| 98.062 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.713 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 97.521 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 97.279 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 97.229 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.114 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 96.962 | Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks? | Binary |
| 96.847 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 96.666 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 96.589 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 96.294 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 96.046 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dwayne Johnson) | Binary |
| 96.046 | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mark Cuban) | Binary |
| 96.014 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 95.981 | Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023? | Binary |
| 95.963 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 95.845 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 95.757 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 95.725 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 95.475 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 95.341 | Will the Omicron variant be more lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 95.237 | Will the United States Senate vote to expel a Senator before January 3, 2023? | Binary |
| 94.716 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 94.616 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 94.061 | Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 93.993 | Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025? | Binary |
| 93.909 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 93.574 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
| 93.401 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 92.838 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 92.641 | Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025? | Binary |
| 92.446 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 92.385 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Vietnam) | Binary |
| 92.318 | Will a federal law imposing disbursement requirements on donor-advised fund accounts pass in the United States before 2023? | Binary |
| 92.209 | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 91.908 | Will Republicans control the United States Senate on 2022-10-31? | Binary |
| 91.763 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 91.574 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 91.540 | Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU? | Binary |
| 90.999 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 90.760 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 90.308 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 90.269 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 89.998 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 89.353 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 89.353 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 89.353 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 89.256 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 89.256 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 88.854 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 88.831 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 88.620 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 88.220 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
| 87.767 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 87.690 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 87.395 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 87.353 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 87.069 | By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 86.992 | Will the 2022 Winter Olympics be completed fully and as scheduled? | Binary |
| 86.407 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 86.230 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 86.223 | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 85.872 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (China) | Binary |
| 85.774 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 85.138 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 84.798 | Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 84.703 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 84.368 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 84.052 | Will these countries approve a cultivated meat product for consumption before April 2023? (European Union) | Binary |
| 83.918 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 83.266 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 82.890 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Thailand) | Binary |
| 82.661 | Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 82.529 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 82.368 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 82.113 | Will the U.S. CDC classify Omicron as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before 2023? | Binary |
| 81.913 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 81.913 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 81.789 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 81.789 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 81.789 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 81.789 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 81.488 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 81.460 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 81.395 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 80.557 | Will the U.S. CDC classify a SARS-CoV-2 variant as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) by 1 March 2022? | Binary |
| 79.926 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 78.569 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay) | Binary |
| 77.945 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 77.803 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 77.701 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 77.549 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 77.512 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 77.493 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 77.332 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 77.284 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 76.844 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 76.511 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 76.483 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 76.243 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 76.187 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 75.074 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 74.001 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
| 73.973 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on January 2, 2023? | Binary |
| 72.941 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2023? | Binary |
| 72.618 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 72.475 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 72.475 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 72.389 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 72.389 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 72.107 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 72.101 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 72.018 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 71.172 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 70.798 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 70.797 | Will an anti-5G attack take a life in 2021 or 2022? | Binary |
| 69.691 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 68.940 | Will the Omicron variant be less lethal than Delta? | Binary |
| 68.428 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 68.121 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 68.062 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Russia) | Binary |
| 67.911 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 66.318 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 66.318 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 66.318 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 66.251 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 66.251 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 66.251 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 66.242 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 66.121 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 66.093 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 65.915 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 65.848 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 65.453 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 64.165 | Will Tigrayan-aligned forces seize the National Palace in Addis Ababa by military assault before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 64.155 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 64.011 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 63.338 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 62.787 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 62.275 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 62.265 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 61.505 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 60.514 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 59.148 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 58.319 | By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 57.772 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| 57.066 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 55.828 | How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue? | Continuous |
| 54.882 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 52.926 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 52.715 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 50.431 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 49.071 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 48.488 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 48.016 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 47.393 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 46.609 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 45.422 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 44.652 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 44.186 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2023? | Binary |
| 43.096 | Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023? | Binary |
| 42.616 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 41.388 | Will additional COVID-19 booster doses be authorized by FDA for the U.S. adult population before 2023? | Binary |
| 41.263 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 39.807 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 39.291 | Will there be a US-Iran war by 2024? | Binary |
| 38.793 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 37.206 | Will a meat or dairy consumption tax go into effect in the US or any EU member state by 2023? | Binary |
| 36.916 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 36.778 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 36.445 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate & House) | Binary |
| 35.639 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 34.327 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 33.460 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate, Dem House) | Binary |
| 33.139 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2024) | Binary |
| 33.015 | Will the "Moon Cube" be shown to be non-natural before 2023? | Binary |
| 32.852 | Will the US, UK, or EU authorize an Omicron-specific booster before 2023? | Binary |
| 30.370 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 30.355 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 28.016 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| 27.953 | Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022? | Binary |
| 27.646 | Will Donald Trump be charged with witness tampering in Georgia before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 25.537 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 24.544 | When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO? | Continuous |
| 23.224 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 23.109 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| 22.246 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 22.050 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 20.438 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 19.419 | Will Israel and Palestine hold peace talks in 2022? | Binary |
| 18.891 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
| 18.271 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 18.014 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 17.684 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 17.107 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 16.675 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 16.000 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 14.192 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 14.156 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 13.684 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 12.851 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 12.851 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 12.851 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 9.384 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| 8.874 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 8.376 | Will a new US Supreme Court justice be confirmed before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 7.799 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.745 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| 7.526 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
| 7.523 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in a non-Democracy before 2026? | Binary |
| 7.349 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 7.126 | Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.767 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Vulcan Centaur) | Continuous |
| 6.306 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.275 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 6.234 | Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory before 2023? | Binary |
| 5.758 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 5.758 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Emmett Shear) | Binary |
| 5.758 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
| 5.758 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
| 5.758 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
| 5.758 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
| 5.758 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
| 4.866 | Will the Australian Census of 2021 show at least 50% not religious? | Binary |
| 4.798 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 4.674 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 4.582 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 4.374 | If Donald J. Trump is indicted on criminal charges before 2030, when will the first such indictment happen? | Continuous |
| 4.072 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou (Independent)) | Binary |
| 4.020 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Ko Wen-je (TPP)) | Binary |
| 3.928 | Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 3.890 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 3.339 | Will these countries approve a cultivated meat product for consumption before April 2023? (United States) | Binary |
| 3.296 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 3.079 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 2.995 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Lai Ching-te (DPP)) | Binary |
| 2.868 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 2.839 | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Hou Yu-ih (Kuomintang)) | Binary |
| 2.751 | Will there be a large-scale power outage in the continental Europe synchronous grid before 2023? | Binary |
| 1.805 | When will a SpaceX Starship upper stage successfully land? | Continuous |
| 1.224 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.185 | Will the party led by X form the first government after the next UK election? (K. Starmer (Labour)) | Binary |
| 1.044 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 1.001 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.993 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 0.776 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| 0.344 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| -0.000 | Will at least one fire produce smoke plumes that reach into the stratosphere, before 2023? | Binary |
| -0.002 | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2022 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
| -1.055 | Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election? | Binary |
| -2.505 | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| -3.366 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| -5.280 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -6.030 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -9.182 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| -9.293 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -18.604 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| -25.963 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -27.619 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -27.891 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -30.102 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Democrat Senate, Rep House) | Binary |
| -44.878 | Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023? | Binary |
| -47.591 | Which parties will control US congress following the 2022 midterm elections? (Republican Senate & House) | Binary |
| -54.240 | Will WHO add another SARS-CoV-2 variant to their Variants of Concern in 2022? | Binary |
| -55.496 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (Ukraine) | Binary |
| -62.495 | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| -69.134 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| -108.132 | [short-fuse] Will Elon Musk sell more than 5% of his Tesla stock by July 1st 2022? | Binary |
| -119.479 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -121.512 | Which of these countries will ban a major crop for export before April 2023? (India) | Binary |
| -126.381 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -142.863 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| -155.624 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| -158.882 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -190.800 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -236.193 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |