2 comments
4 forecasters
Will a new Clay Millennium Prize be awarded entirely to individual humans before 2040?
8%chance
6 comments
74 forecasters
How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?
Fewer than 39
39
40
41
More than 41
1 comment
79 forecasters
Will Israel withdraw behind the original Yellow Line in Gaza before January 1, 2027?
3%chance
5.7% this week
2 comments
65 forecasters
How many cultural sites in Ukraine will be damaged as of December 31, 2026, according to UNESCO?
Current estimate
585 Cultural Sites
5 comments
82 forecasters
Will the Trump administration or a GOP state governor deploy armed officers or troops to a polling or early voting site in 2026?
18%chance
5% this week
2 comments
67 forecasters
Which government will form after the 2026 New Zealand general election?
Labour-led
National-led
None before January
Other
2 comments
29 forecasters
Who will be the 2026 Time Person of the Year?
Dario Amodei
Artificial Intelligence
Astronaut(s)
Mark Carney
8 others
3 comments
50 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential election?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Flávio Bolsonaro
2 comments
24 forecasters
What will be the all-time highest close price of NVDA before January 1, 2027?
Current estimate
Revealedin 4 days
2 comments
25 forecasters
How many seats will PP and Vox collectively receive in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Current estimate
Revealedin 6 days