646 comments
1.8k forecasters
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
Current estimate
09 Oct 2027
2 comments
6 forecasters
Will the 2026 World Cup deliver the predicted economic boost to US host cities?
39%chance
6 comments
66 forecasters
How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
0
1
2
3
4+
2 comments
9 forecasters
Will the Trump administration issue a new binding rule tightening advanced-computing or semiconductor-equipment export controls for China before January 1, 2027?
41%chance
60 comments
246 forecasters
Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI?
93%chance
12% this week
2 comments
57 forecasters
Who will be awarded the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Doctors Without Borders
Donald J. Trump
ICC / ICJ
Pope Leo XIV
7 others
11 comments
39 forecasters
Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?
75%chance
32% this week
2 comments
61 forecasters
Will FEWS NET classify any area of Sudan as experiencing Famine before 2027?
Current estimate
Revealedin 7 hours
%chance
3 comments
9 forecasters
Will China further tighten its postβNovember 10, 2026 rare-earth export-control regime?
41%chance