0 comments
16 forecasters
When will Anthropic be publicly traded?
Before November 18
November 18, 19 or 20
November 23, 24, or 25
After Nov 25 & before Dec 1
Not before December
4 comments
77 forecasters
What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
66.4 Index Score
1 comment
30 forecasters
Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?
PP
PSOE
Vox
Another party
9 comments
77 forecasters
Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?
65%chance
3 comments
91 forecasters
Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?
45%chance
17% this week
1 comment
34 forecasters
Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?
20%chance
46% this week
5 comments
73 forecasters
How much US online spending will Adobe report for Cyber Monday 2026?
Current estimate
15.2 billion USD
6 comments
40 forecasters
By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?
Current estimate
Revealednext week
0 comments
8 forecasters
Will a Préfecture de Police curfew be in effect anywhere in Paris on the night of New Year's Eve 2026?
20%chance