18 comments
90 forecasters

Will the Lebanese Armed Forces deploy to the initial two pilot zones in southern Lebanon before September 2026?

98%chance
78% this week
19 comments
143 forecasters

What will happen in the Russia–Ukraine war between July 20 and September 1, 2026?

Negotiated De-escalation
4%
Russian Advance
18%
Ukrainian Advance
5%
Continued Stalemate
73.1%
5 comments
6 forecasters

How many U.S. cases of cyclosporiasis will occur in the 2026 season before September 1, 2026, according to the CDC?

Current estimate
10.3k Cases
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will the total number of hospitalizations from cyclosporiasis in Michigan remain under 300 through the end of August 2026?

33%chance
2 comments
4 forecasters

Will Ocearch successfully ping Contender, the Atlantic's largest great white shark, before September 1, 2026?

60%chance
1 comment
53 forecasters

How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2026?

13 or fewer
18.4%
14
24.6%
15
28.3%
16
16.6%
3 others
1 comment
57 forecasters

What will UK Labour Party's 7-poll moving average percent be on August 31, 2026?

Current estimate
22.8%
0 comments
4 forecasters

When will Anthropic IPO?

Current estimate
10 Feb 2027
2 comments
17 forecasters

Who will win the Tour de France 2026?

Tadej Pogačar
98.2%
Remco Evenepoel
1%
Other
0.3%
Paul Seixas
0.2%
3 others
0 comments
2 forecasters

When will OpenAI IPO?

Current estimate
21 Mar 2027
1 comment
69 forecasters

Who will be the 2026 Republican nominee for U.S. Senator from South Carolina?

Russell Fry
6%
Darline Graham Nordone
74.3%
Ralph Norman
16.8%
Other
1.4%
3 others
1 comment
5 forecasters

Will Starlink's website show India as a country with Starlink availability before September 2026?

7.1%chance
37.9% this week
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