33 comments
103 forecasters

How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?

Current estimate
5.11 bots
10 comments
74 forecasters

Will Trump demolish the Kennedy Center before January 1, 2027?

6%chance
4 comments
5 forecasters

Which party will win the next (post-2023) parliamentary elections in Slovakia?

SMER-SD (Social Democracy)
37.5%
PS (Progressivism)
47.9%
HLAS-SD (Social Democracy)
5.2%
Republika (Nationalism)
5.2%
3 others
5 comments
61 forecasters

What will be the highest intraday value of the VIX between October 1 and December 24, 2026?

Current estimate
24.5 Units
3 comments
63 forecasters

How many politicians will leave their cabinet positions in the UK government before 2027?

0
65.3%
1
23.9%
2
6.9%
3 or more
3.9%
3 comments
56 forecasters

What will be the total spending by all Senate candidates in the 2026 US election cycle?

Current estimate
1.76B $
1 comment
9 forecasters

Will ChatGPT-type chatbots disappear before 2100?

78%chance
26 comments
145 forecasters

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?

0
78.6%
1
17.9%
2
2.9%
3
0.5%
4+
0.1%
1 comment
4 forecasters

Will the NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy merger close before 2028?

53%chance
2 comments
3 forecasters

Will the FDA withdraw approval for any branded GLP-1 receptor agonist drug due to safety concerns before 2035?

10%chance
9 comments
109 forecasters

Will Venezuela announce a presidential election before 2027?

8%chance
7% this week
12 comments
98 forecasters

What will be the US national debt on December 31, 2026?

Current estimate
41.1T $
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