1 comment
11 forecasters

Will ChatGPT-type chatbots disappear before 2100?

78%chance
7 comments
5 forecasters

Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League due to financial-rule breaches before 2030?

60%chance
37 comments
106 forecasters

How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?

Current estimate
5.12 bots
6 comments
78 forecasters

What will be the total spending by all Senate candidates in the 2026 US election cycle?

Current estimate
1.72B $
14 comments
96 forecasters

Will Trump demolish the Kennedy Center before January 1, 2027?

7%chance
5 comments
75 forecasters

What will be the highest intraday value of the VIX between October 1 and December 24, 2026?

Current estimate
25.8 Units
3 comments
75 forecasters

How many politicians will leave their cabinet positions in the UK government before 2027?

0
64.9%
1
24%
2
7.2%
3 or more
4%
2 comments
3 forecasters

Will the FDA withdraw approval for any branded GLP-1 receptor agonist drug due to safety concerns before 2035?

10%chance
11 comments
123 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Harry Kane
44.8%
Kylian MbappΓ©
3.2%
Rodri
2%
Lamine Yamal
46.4%
3 others
0 comments
8 forecasters

Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person before December 1, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealedin 5 days
%chance
26 comments
152 forecasters

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?

0
85.3%
1
12.2%
2
2%
3
0.4%
4+
0.1%
4 comments
6 forecasters

Which party will win the next (post-2023) parliamentary elections in Slovakia?

SMER-SD (Social Democracy)
39.4%
PS (Progressivism)
54.5%
HLAS-SD (Social Democracy)
1%
Republika (Nationalism)
2%
3 others
Featured in