4 comments
9 forecasters

Will the 2026 World Cup deliver the predicted economic boost to US host cities?

1%chance
37% this week
9 comments
28 forecasters

Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?

90%chance
5% today
1 comment
3 forecasters

What share of the vote will Vox win in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

Current estimate
Revealedin 6 days
0 comments
8 forecasters

Will Elon Musk give a SpaceX share to every child in the US in 2027?

15%chance
11 comments
87 forecasters

What will be the all-time highest close price of NVDA before January 1, 2027?

Current estimate
242 $
1 comment
8 forecasters

When will Tesla, Inc. and SpaceX publicly announce a merger?

2026
12%
2027
19.3%
2028
14.4%
Not before 2029
54.2%
4 comments
81 forecasters

How many seats will PP and Vox collectively receive in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Current estimate
196 Seats
2 comments
80 forecasters

What first round vote share will JosΓ© Maria Neves win in the 2026 Cape Verdean presidential election?

Current estimate
53.3%
10 comments
16 forecasters

How long will the employee lockup period be after Anthropic's IPO?

90-134
15.4%
135-179
50.2%
180
20.2%
>180
8%
2 others
6 comments
91 forecasters

Who will be the 2026 Time Person of the Year?

Mark Carney
9.1%
Pope Leo XIV
9.7%
Zohran Mamdani
22.9%
Other
38%
8 others
0 comments
13 forecasters

What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on the eve of Election Day 2026?

Current estimate
8.79%
1 comment
17 forecasters

What percent of Americans will oppose the Iran War on the eve of Election Day 2026?

Current estimate
57%
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