32 comments
99 forecasters

How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?

Current estimate
5.06 bots
10 comments
67 forecasters

Will Trump demolish the Kennedy Center before January 1, 2027?

6.9%chance
4 comments
4 forecasters

Which party will win the next (post-2023) parliamentary elections in Slovakia?

SMER-SD (Social Democracy)
24.8%
PS (Progressivism)
41.4%
Slovensko (Populism)
6.9%
Republika (Nationalism)
17.4%
3 others
5 comments
50 forecasters

What will be the highest intraday value of the VIX between October 1 and December 24, 2026?

Current estimate
24.5 Units
3 comments
52 forecasters

How many politicians will leave their cabinet positions in the UK government before 2027?

0
59.4%
1
24.8%
2
9.9%
3 or more
5.9%
1 comment
8 forecasters

Will ChatGPT-type chatbots disappear before 2100?

59%chance
10 comments
13 forecasters

How long will the employee lockup period be after OpenAI's IPO?

90-134
14.3%
135-179
23.3%
180
22.2%
>180
31.8%
2 others
25 comments
142 forecasters

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?

0
76.7%
1
19.4%
2
3%
3
0.8%
4+
0.1%
12 comments
95 forecasters

What will be the US national debt on December 31, 2026?

Current estimate
41.1T $
1 comment
4 forecasters

Will the NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy merger close before 2028?

53%chance
8 comments
13 forecasters

How long will the employee lockup period be after Anthropic's IPO?

90-134
13%
135-179
21.2%
180
19.2%
>180
34.8%
2 others
9 comments
106 forecasters

Will Venezuela announce a presidential election before 2027?

9%chance
6% this week
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