37 comments
44 forecasters

When will Anthropic IPO?

Current estimate
22 Nov 2026
1 comment
37 forecasters

Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?

15%chance
50.9% this week
19 comments
118 forecasters

How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?

Fewer than 39
2%
39
11.2%
40
25.5%
41
38.8%
More than 41
22.4%
4 comments
93 forecasters

What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?

Current estimate
67.1 Index Score
7 comments
111 forecasters

Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?

35%chance
13% this week
5 comments
62 forecasters

Will Ukraine have de facto control of Dobropillia, Donetsk on December 31, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealedin 3 days
%chance
0 comments
29 forecasters

Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States in December 2026?

10%chance
6% this week
5 comments
83 forecasters

How much US online spending will Adobe report for Cyber Monday 2026?

Current estimate
15.2 billion USD
8 comments
54 forecasters

By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?

Current estimate
Revealedin 4 days
11 comments
87 forecasters

Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?

66%chance
6% this week
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will Jensen Huang deliver the keynote at Nvidia GTC Washington, D.C. before December 4, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealedin 4 days
%chance
1 comment
55 forecasters

Will criminal or civil immigration charges be brought against Ilhan Omar before 2027?

Current estimate
Revealedin 3 days
%chance
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