4 comments
11 forecasters
Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?
88%chance
6 comments
82 forecasters
Who will be the 2026 Time Person of the Year?
Mark Carney
Pope Leo XIV
Zohran Mamdani
Other
8 others
0 comments
11 forecasters
What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on the eve of Election Day 2026?
Current estimate
9.02%
1 comment
3 forecasters
When will Tesla, Inc. and SpaceX publicly announce a merger?
2026
2027
2028
Not before 2029
6 comments
71 forecasters
What will be the all-time highest close price of NVDA before January 1, 2027?
Current estimate
243 $
1 comment
11 forecasters
Will a representative survey in a G20 country find, before 2050, that a majority of adults believe AI has subjective experience?
60%chance
0 comments
12 forecasters
What percent of Americans will oppose the Iran War on the eve of Election Day 2026?
Current estimate
57.7%
1 comment
3 forecasters
Will the Phase 3 LiGeR-HN1 trial of petosemtamab + pembrolizumab in 1L HNSCC meet its primary endpoint before 2028?
73%chance
3 comments
64 forecasters
How many seats will PP and Vox collectively receive in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Current estimate
196 Seats
2 comments
66 forecasters
What first round vote share will José Maria Neves win in the 2026 Cape Verdean presidential election?
Current estimate
52.7%
2 comments
3 forecasters
Will Viktor Orban return as prime minister before 2031?
Current estimate
Revealedin 4 days
%chance
5 comments
45 forecasters
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election?
25%chance
22% this week