2 comments
13 forecasters
What will be Lulaโs first-round vote-share margin over Flรกvio Bolsonaro in Brazilโs 2026 presidential election?
Current estimate
1.37%
36 comments
104 forecasters
How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?
Current estimate
5 bots
5 comments
75 forecasters
What will be the total spending by all Senate candidates in the 2026 US election cycle?
Current estimate
1.68B $
5 comments
72 forecasters
What will be the highest intraday value of the VIX between October 1 and December 24, 2026?
Current estimate
24.4 Units
3 comments
73 forecasters
How many politicians will leave their cabinet positions in the UK government before 2027?
0
1
2
3 or more
6 comments
2 forecasters
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League due to financial-rule breaches before 2030?
Current estimate
Revealedtomorrow
%chance
2 comments
3 forecasters
Will the FDA withdraw approval for any branded GLP-1 receptor agonist drug due to safety concerns before 2035?
10%chance
11 comments
121 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Harry Kane
Kylian Mbappรฉ
Lamine Yamal
Other
3 others
4 comments
6 forecasters
Which party will win the next (post-2023) parliamentary elections in Slovakia?
SMER-SD (Social Democracy)
PS (Progressivism)
HLAS-SD (Social Democracy)
Republika (Nationalism)
3 others
26 comments
150 forecasters
How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
0
1
2
3
4+