0 comments
14 forecasters
Will the US House of Representatives impeach Pete Hegseth before January 3, 2029?
72%chance
1 comment
37 forecasters
Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?
15%chance
50.9% this week
19 comments
118 forecasters
How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?
Fewer than 39
39
40
41
More than 41
7 comments
112 forecasters
Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?
35%chance
20.3% this week
11 comments
58 forecasters
By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?
Current estimate
Revealedin 3 days
6 comments
66 forecasters
Will Ukraine have de facto control of Dobropillia, Donetsk on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealedin 2 days
%chance
0 comments
31 forecasters
Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States in December 2026?
5%chance
11% this week
4 comments
93 forecasters
What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
66.8 Index Score
0 comments
11 forecasters
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact govern the 2028 US presidential election?
Current estimate
Revealedin 15 hours
%chance
11 comments
88 forecasters
Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?
65%chance
5% this week
2 comments
62 forecasters
Will criminal or civil immigration charges be brought against Ilhan Omar before 2027?
Current estimate
Revealedin 2 days
%chance