209 comments
296 forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?
AI-Fizzle
Futurama
AI-Dystopia
Singularia
Paperclipalypse
1 comment
8 forecasters
Will a new commonly accepted axiom be added to ZFC before 2050?
2%chance
41% this week
13 comments
58 forecasters
How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?
Current estimate
Revealedin 3 days
3 comments
7 forecasters
Will a formal ceasefire or peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia be signed before January 1, 2028?
40%chance
1 comment
4 forecasters
Will Massachusetts enact frontier AI safety legislation during the 194th General Court?
70.6%chance
1 comment
1 forecaster
Will the Academy of Natural Sciences of Drexel University admit members of the public on 7+ days in 2027?
50%chance
0 comments
15 forecasters
Will at least one additional U.S. state enact a cage-free egg requirement before July 2027?
12%chance
0 comments
15 forecasters
What will be the total retail sales of plant-based meat and seafood in 2026?
Current estimate
6.85B $
0 comments
14 forecasters
What percentage of companies globally will fulfill their pre-2026 cage-free commitments in 2026 and 2027?
Current estimate
12.7%
0 comments
14 forecasters
How many shrimp per year will be covered by SWP's Humane Slaughter Initiative agreements on July 1, 2027?
Current estimate
8.18B Shrimp