37 comments
164 forecasters
How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
0
1
2
3
4+
2 comments
32 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential election?
Luiz InΓ‘cio Lula da Silva
FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro
5 comments
23 forecasters
Will Spain hold a general election before May 23, 2027?
99.2%chance
49.2% this week
18 comments
67 forecasters
What will be the winning margin in Brazilβs 2026 presidential election runoff?
Current estimate
3.64 Percentage points
10 comments
24 forecasters
Will the 2026 suspected pneumonic plague outbreak in Russia result in 10 fatalities before 2027?
0.9%chance
1.1% today
6 comments
57 forecasters
Will the US approve a $10B exchange stabilisation facility for Pakistan before 2027?
13%chance
1 comment
4 forecasters
Will Russia disable global technology infrastructure including AI before 2050?
1%chance
0 comments
11 forecasters
Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person before December 1, 2026?
39%chance
1 comment
2 forecasters
What will be the first year when WHO reports zero MERS cases globally?
2029
2030
2031
2032 or beyond
2 others
221 comments
325 forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?
AI-Fizzle
Futurama
AI-Dystopia
Singularia
Paperclipalypse
7 comments
8 forecasters
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League due to financial-rule breaches before 2030?
50%chance
1 comment
6 forecasters
Will Gavin Newsom call a special session of the California Legislature on AI before January 1, 2027?
10%chance