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Future of work & AIFuture of the US workforce as AI advances
10 comments
26 forecasters
When will commercially available robots be able to build IKEA furniture on their own?
Current estimate
01 Sep 2030
4 comments
2 forecasters
When will Canada become a full member state of the European Union?
Current estimate
2090
3 comments
13 forecasters
Will there be a large diffusion of robotics in the US household market before 2033?
Current estimate
3.45 Criteria Fulfilled
6 comments
28 forecasters
Will there be a nationwide anti-government uprising in Russia between September 20 and November 1, 2026?
8%chance
1 comment
6 forecasters
What proportion of SCOTUS decisions issued in Q2 2026 will be authored by a Democrat-appointed Justice?
Current estimate
0.336%
2 comments
8 forecasters
Will the United States support Argentine claims of sovereignty over the Malvinas/Falkland Islands before 2030?
Current estimate
Revealed in 6 days
2 comments
4 forecasters
What will be the mean of the top 10 scores on the Metaculus 2026 Peer Accuracy leaderboard?
Current estimate
40.8 points
3 comments
77 forecasters
Will the United States and Iran hold another face-to-face diplomatic meeting before June 6, 2026?
30%chance
36% this week
8 comments
39 forecasters
Will any national military or state-affiliated armed forces deploy at least 5,000 quadruped robots in an active conflict zone before 2031?
32%chance
30% this week