9 comments
51 forecasters

What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026?

Current estimate
157 $
3 comments
4 forecasters

What percentage of votes will be for Yes in Iceland's August 2026 EU referendum?

Less than or equal to 50% (the referendum fails)67.1%
Greater than 50% and less than 53%21.2%
Greater than or equal to 53% and less than 56%8.9%
Greater than or equal to 56%2.7%
5 comments
30 forecasters

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

70%chance
5% this week
9 comments
64 forecasters

Will any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be delayed by more than 30 minutes due to extreme heat?

15%chance
7% today
19 comments
75 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?

Chad Bianco0.1%
Steve Hilton5%
Katie Porter0.1%
Xavier Becerra94.6%
0 comments
13 forecasters

Will any host nation (USA, Mexico or Canada) reach the semifinals of the 2026 World Cup?

2.9%chance
20 comments
66 forecasters

Will the Community beat Dylan Matthews in the Metaculus Cup Summer 2026?

Current estimate
Revealedin 2 days
%chance
0 comments
5 forecasters

Will Karen Bass be reelected Mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?

50%chance
0 comments
4 forecasters

Will there be a Cockroach Janta Party protest with at least 20,000 participants before 2027?

50%chance
2 comments
4 forecasters

When will an airborne SARS-CoV-2 virus monitor be commercially available?

Current estimate
>Jan 2034
37 comments
820 forecasters

Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

23%chance
2 comments
9 forecasters

Will OpenAI publicly file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before September 1, 2026?

52%chance
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