2 comments
28 forecasters

Will Argentina's economy grow at 3.5% or faster in 2026?

2%chance
43% this week
0 comments
12 forecasters

When will Anthropic be publicly traded?

Before November 18
26.8%
November 18, 19 or 20
17%
November 23, 24, or 25
20.7%
After Nov 25 & before Dec 1
13.8%
Not before December
21.6%
1 comment
29 forecasters

Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?

PP
77.6%
PSOE
19.9%
Vox
2%
Another party
0.5%
9 comments
74 forecasters

Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?

65%chance
5 comments
67 forecasters

How much US online spending will Adobe report for Cyber Monday 2026?

Current estimate
15.2 billion USD
3 comments
68 forecasters

What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?

Current estimate
63.2 Index Score
3 comments
86 forecasters

Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?

56%chance
0 comments
8 forecasters

Will a PrΓ©fecture de Police curfew be in effect anywhere in Paris on the night of New Year's Eve 2026?

20%chance
7 comments
92 forecasters

What will Grand Theft Auto VI's PS5 Metascore be on December 20, 2026?

Current estimate
95.5 Metascore
18 comments
113 forecasters

How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?

Fewer than 39
10.9%
39
22.4%
40
28.6%
41
27.7%
More than 41
10.4%
13 comments
102 forecasters

Will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release an AI model to the public in 2026?

5%chance
4% this week
4 comments
24 forecasters

Will ChatGPT-type chatbots disappear before 2100?

50%chance
35% this week
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