1 comment
19 forecasters
Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?
PP
PSOE
Vox
Another party
14 comments
17 forecasters
How long will the employee lockup period be after Anthropic's IPO?
90-134
135-179
180
>180
2 others
2 comments
18 forecasters
When will Tesla, Inc. and SpaceX publicly announce a merger?
2026
2027
2028
Not before 2029
4 comments
11 forecasters
Will the 2026 World Cup deliver the predicted economic boost to US host cities?
2%chance
28% this week
54 comments
138 forecasters
How many bots will finish in the top 10 of the Metaculus Cup Fall 2026?
Current estimate
5.06 bots
14 comments
37 forecasters
Will Generative AI become part of most Americans' daily lives before 2030?
90%chance
20% this week
9 comments
74 forecasters
Will Safe Superintelligence (SSI) release an AI model to the public in 2026?
Current estimate
Revealedtomorrow
%chance
0 comments
25 forecasters
Will Elon Musk give a SpaceX share to every child in the US in 2027?
3%chance
2% today
1 comment
7 forecasters
What share of the vote will Vox win in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?
Current estimate
Revealedtomorrow
12 comments
98 forecasters
How many cultural sites in Ukraine will be damaged as of December 31, 2026, according to UNESCO?
Current estimate
580 Cultural Sites
5 comments
91 forecasters
How many seats will PP and Vox collectively receive in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Current estimate
197 Seats