12 comments
81 forecasters

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal on any day before September 2026?

71%chance
9 comments
91 forecasters

What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026?

Current estimate
175 $
6 comments
53 forecasters

Will the Brookmont Catastrophic Bond ETF drop at least $0.25 within two days before September 2026?

22%chance
4% today
4 comments
65 forecasters

Will the US and India finalise a new bilateral trade agreement before August 2026?

44%chance
7% today
3 comments
8 forecasters

What percentage of votes will be for Yes in Iceland's August 2026 EU referendum?

Less than or equal to 50% (the referendum fails)21.6%
Greater than 50% and less than 53%34.7%
Greater than or equal to 53% and less than 56%30.9%
Greater than or equal to 56%12.8%
3 comments
53 forecasters

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur before September 2026?

039%
137%
215.5%
37.2%
13 comments
83 forecasters

Will Shakira's "Dai Dai" outpeak Shakira's "Waka Waka" on the Billboard Hot 100?

3%chance
20% this week
0 comments
3 forecasters

Before September 1, 2026, will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be legally permitted to run for another term?

27.3%chance
26 comments
132 forecasters

Will the United States attack Cuba before 2027?

40%chance
2 comments
6 forecasters

Will OpenAI either have a valuation of less than $200bn USD or have filed for bankruptcy before January 1, 2028?

4%chance
0 comments
4 forecasters

Will U.S. District Judge Eleanor L. Ross leave office before 2027?

40%chance
5 comments
36 forecasters

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

66.7%chance
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