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Future of work & AIFuture of the US workforce as AI advances
12 comments
132 forecasters
Will another U.S. cabinet member leave office before May 2026?
99.9%chance
74.9% this week
6 comments
102 forecasters
How many charges will the ICC confirm against Rodrigo Duterte before May 2026?
00.1%
10.1%
20.1%
399.6%
No Decision0.1%
10 comments
82 forecasters
Which of these market indexes will perform the best during April 2026?
S&P 50010%
Nikkei 22586.3%
FTSE 1001%
DAX 401%
7 comments
9 forecasters
Will 1,000,000 unmanned ground vehicles be deployed by Russian or Ukrainian forces during a single calendar year before 2031?
42%chance
6 comments
1 forecaster
How many robotics companies will reach a valuation of over $100B before 2032?
Current estimate
6.4 Companies
3 comments
2 forecasters
When will general-purpose robots be able to build a small house on their own?
Current estimate
Jul 2032
8 comments
20 forecasters
Will any national military or state-affiliated armed forces deploy at least 5,000 quadruped robots in an active conflict zone before 2031?
50%chance
5% today
8 comments
4 forecasters
What proportion of global high-precision reducers unit shipments will Chinese manufacturers collectively hold by the end of 2030?
Current estimate
68.4%
4 comments
3 forecasters
Will any organization or state launch a $500 billion project aimed at scaling robot manufacturing before 2031?
28%chance
0 comments
23 forecasters
Will the US and China jointly announce a new bilateral trade agreement in 2026?
37%chance
2 comments
2 forecasters
When will commercially available robots be able to build a personal computer on their own?
Current estimate
24 Feb 2030
0 comments
3 forecasters
What will be the annual global economic cost of soil degradation in 2035?
Current estimate
17.5T US$