1 comment
10 forecasters
Will the WHO report that the 2026 Ebola outbreak has spread to a 6th Congo province before September 1, 2026?
90%chance
0 comments
6 forecasters
Will South Korea announce a specific date for the 5th Nuri rocket launch before September 1, 2026?
74%chance
3 comments
4 forecasters
Will there be a natural disaster causing at least 10 million deaths before 2101?
20%chance
0 comments
7 forecasters
Who will be the largest Democratic donor in the 2026 cycle, as of September 1, 2026?
George Soros
Majority Forward
Other
0 comments
4 forecasters
Who will be the largest Republican donor in the 2026 cycle, as of September 1, 2026?
Ben Horowitz & Marc Andreessen
Elon Musk
Jeff & Janine Yass
Miriam Adelson
2 others
8 comments
44 forecasters
Will a U.S. federal agency announce new or expanded model evaluation agreements with both OpenAI and Anthropic before September 3, 2026?
21%chance
4% today
4 comments
53 forecasters
What will be the percentage change in the S&P 500 from close of Aug 26, 2026 to open of Aug 31, 2026?
Current estimate
0.296%
1 comment
52 forecasters
What will be the Boliviano-USD exchange rate on August 31, 2026?
Current estimate
11.6 Bs/USD
0 comments
7 forecasters
How many active US drilling rigs will there be for the week ending August 28, 2026?
Current estimate
592 Rigs
2 comments
1 forecaster
Will USTR publish a final overcapacity determination before September 24, 2026?
10%chance
8 comments
74 forecasters
What will be the total number of US cyclosporiasis hospitalizations before September 2026?
Current estimate
1152 Hospitalizations
1 comment
8 forecasters
Will any 2026 US-China AI agreement include semiconductor or compute export-control concessions?
10%chance