5 comments
19 forecasters
Will a newly constructed oil or natural gas pipeline intended to bypass the Strait of Hormuz become fully operational before January 1, 2031?
80%chance
6 comments
69 forecasters
Will the Lebanese Armed Forces deploy to the initial two pilot zones in southern Lebanon before September 2026?
33%chance
4 comments
54 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
France
Argentina
Spain
England
0 comments
62 forecasters
What will be the highest price of copper futures in August 2026?
Current estimate
6.38 USD per lb
0 comments
55 forecasters
How many gold medals will Australia win at the 2026 Commonwealth Games?
Current estimate
55.2 Gold Medals
1 comment
6 forecasters
Will the SEC adopt a final rule permitting optional semiannual reporting before January 1, 2027?
39%chance
2 comments
13 forecasters
Will any U.S. Supreme Court justice announce their retirement before September 1, 2026?
13%chance
5 comments
5 forecasters
Which country will be first to factor the 2048-bit RSA challenge number?
United States of America
People’s Republic of China
Other
11 comments
17 forecasters
Will a Ukranian attack cause a 30-day shutdown of a Russian oil refinery before 2027?
70%chance
3 comments
10 forecasters
Will France's V-Dem Liberal Democracy Index fall below 0.80 for 2026 or 2027?
69%chance
8 comments
66 forecasters
What will be the World Bank monthly price of liquid sulphur (Tampa) for Q3 2026?
Current estimate
673 USD/metric ton
1 comment
2 forecasters
Which quantum hardware substrate will first factor a 2048-bit RSA modulus?
Superconducting qubits
Trapped ions
Neutral atoms / Rydberg arrays
Photonic quantum computing