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🇺🇸US Midterms💥Iran War⚔️Metaculus Cup❓Top Questions🗞️Current Events🤖Artificial Intelligence🌍Geopolitics💼Economy and Business🚀Space
18 comments
19 forecasters

What will Sam Altman's net worth be in January 2030?

Current estimate
22.4 B$
3 comments
5 forecasters

When will the next Presidential Election be held in Mali?

Current estimate
>16 Apr 2030
6 comments
14 forecasters

Will China recognize Tibet before 2070?

8%chance
3 comments
42 forecasters

Will Italy's Schengen suspension against Spain be lifted before August 30, 2026?

15%chance
5% today
6 comments
4 forecasters

Will the United States' share of major arms exports decrease by more than 15% between 2024 and 2030?

40%chance
1 comment
3 forecasters

When will global electricity generation from nuclear fusion power plants exceed global electricity generation from nuclear fission power plants?

Current estimate
Mar 2057
0 comments
14 forecasters

Will a bot finish in the top 5 of the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup?

96.5%chance
0 comments
4 forecasters

How long will the employee lockup period be after OpenAI's IPO?

45-89
12.2%
90-134
22.4%
135-179
15.3%
180
36.9%
2 others
2 comments
7 forecasters

What will be the highest intraday value of the VIX in August 2026?

Current estimate
21.3
20 comments
120 forecasters

Will a bot beat all humans in the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup?

47%chance
35% this week
1 comment
2 forecasters

Will Chinese regulators mandate the removal of Love and Deepspace before July 1, 2027?

1.5%chance
0 comments
4 forecasters

How many deaths from Operation Epic Fury will the U.S. government officially report on August 31, 2026?

Current estimate
25.3 total deaths
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