2 comments
31 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential election?
Luiz Inรกcio Lula da Silva
Flรกvio Bolsonaro
5 comments
23 forecasters
Will Spain hold a general election before May 23, 2027?
99.2%chance
49.2% this week
16 comments
60 forecasters
What will be the winning margin in Brazilโs 2026 presidential election runoff?
Current estimate
3.85 Percentage points
9 comments
21 forecasters
Will the 2026 suspected pneumonic plague outbreak in Russia result in 10 fatalities before 2027?
2%chance
1 comment
5 forecasters
Will Gavin Newsom call a special session of the California Legislature on AI before January 1, 2027?
3%chance
33 comments
162 forecasters
How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
0
1
2
3
4+
1 comment
2 forecasters
What will be the first year when WHO reports zero MERS cases globally?
2029
2030
2031
2032 or beyond
2 others
1 comment
4 forecasters
Will Russia disable global technology infrastructure including AI before 2050?
1%chance
6 comments
52 forecasters
Will the US approve a $10B exchange stabilisation facility for Pakistan before 2027?
Current estimate
Revealedin 5 hours
%chance
7 comments
8 forecasters
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League due to financial-rule breaches before 2030?
50%chance
219 comments
323 forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?
AI-Fizzle
Futurama
AI-Dystopia
Singularia
Paperclipalypse
4 comments
43 forecasters
What will be the total OpenRouter token usage December 21-27, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealedtomorrow