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Future of work & AIFuture of the US workforce as AI advances
0 comments
9 forecasters
When will Google first report that an AI system reached or surpassed CBRN uplift level 1?
Current estimate
05 Oct 2030
27 comments
120 forecasters
Will Claude Mythos or a similar model be publicly released before September 2026?
80%chance
40% this week
3 comments
50 forecasters
What will be the voter turnout in the 2026 Algerian National People's Assembly elections?
Current estimate
26.8%
6 comments
55 forecasters
Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before September 1, 2026?
30%chance
14 comments
135 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Iván Cepeda21%
Abelardo de la Espriella78.8%
Paloma Valencia0.1%
Another candidate0.1%
0 comments
30 forecasters
Will Donald Trump declare a national emergency related to election integrity before November 3, 2026?
29%chance
4% today
0 comments
32 forecasters
Which party will win the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?
Democrat38.4%
Republican57.6%
Other4%
0 comments
32 forecasters
Which party will win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election?
Democrat74.3%
Republican24.7%
Other1%
0 comments
23 forecasters
Will Missouri's 2026 Amendment 3 pass, repealing the 2024 abortion-rights protections?
38.1%chance
29 comments
145 forecasters
Will any U.S. state or EU member state restrict large-scale data center grid connections before September 2026?
30%chance
4.3% this week
11 comments
41 forecasters
What will be the World Bank monthly price of liquid sulphur in June 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
2 comments
4 forecasters
Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher valuation on January 1, 2027?
OpenAIHidden
AnthropicHidden