Forecasting Platform
Collective intelligence for the public good
3.95M+ Predictions24.2k+ forecasting questions12+ years of predictions
Business Solutions
For informed decision-making
Hire Pro ForecastersRun TournamentsHost Private Instances
Labor Hub
Future of work & AIFuture of the US workforce as AI advances
41 comments
834 forecasters
Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
99.9%chance
19.9% this week
22 comments
110 forecasters
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal on any day before September 2026?
50%chance
18% this week
4 comments
31 forecasters
What will be the access status of Claude Fable and Mythos on September 1, 2026?
Fable Open, Mythos Open25%
Fable US-only, Mythos Open19.5%
Fable US-only, Mythos Closed16.8%
Fable Closed, Mythos Closed16.4%
5 comments
14 forecasters
Will July 2026 be the warmest July on record, according to Copernicus?
55%chance
0 comments
13 forecasters
Before September 1, 2026, will Turkish President Recep Tayyip ErdoΔan be legally permitted to run for another term?
4.4%chance
0 comments
7 forecasters
Will Ukraine announce a presidential election before September 1, 2026?
0.1%chance
4 comments
70 forecasters
How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur before September 2026?
041.9%
140.8%
213.2%
33.1%
4Upcoming
0 comments
9 forecasters
On July 8, 2026, will Marine Le Pen be ineligible to run in the 2027 French presidential election?
57%chance
17 comments
94 forecasters
Will Shakira's "Dai Dai" outpeak Shakira's "Waka Waka" on the Billboard Hot 100?
0.1%chance
3.9% this week
9 comments
102 forecasters
What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026?
Current estimate
159 $
5 comments
2 forecasters
Which country will be first to factor the 2048-bit RSA challenge number?
United States of AmericaHidden
Peopleβs Republic of ChinaHidden
OtherHidden
20 comments
96 forecasters
Will any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be delayed by more than 30 minutes due to extreme heat?
5%chance