22 comments
89 forecasters
What will the global fertility rate be in 2050?
Current estimate
1.9 children per woman
2 comments
8 forecasters
Will at least one paper published in Nature, Science, or Cell list an AI system as a formally credited author before January 1, 2030?
63.9%chance
1 comment
5 forecasters
Will Homo sapiens go extinct before 2400?
Current estimate
Revealednext week
%chance
1 comment
4 forecasters
When will the first drone cause a deadly crash of a commercial passenger flight?
Current estimate
06 Aug 2028
2 comments
4 forecasters
Will the majority of global computing power be based on non-silicon hardware before the end of the 21st century?
80%chance
0 comments
10 forecasters
What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on September 15, 2026?
Current estimate
6.82%
1 comment
2 forecasters
Will a fault-tolerant quantum computer be available to commercial users before January 1, 2030?
57.5%chance
2 comments
9 forecasters
Will the European Space Agency launch the PLATO spacecraft before 2027?
0.1%chance
15% this week
2 comments
18 forecasters
Will August 2026 be the warmest August on record, according to Copernicus?
75%chance
37% this week
5 comments
20 forecasters
Will there be a natural disaster causing at least 10 million deaths before 2101?
55%chance
28% this week
1 comment
8 forecasters
What will be the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage for the week ending August 27, 2026?
At least 6.25% but less than 6.50%
At least 6.50% but less than 6.75%
At least 6.75% but less than 7.00%
Greater than 7.00%
2 others