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🇺🇸US Midterms💥Iran War⚔️Metaculus Cup❓Top Questions🗞️Current Events🤖Artificial Intelligence🌍Geopolitics💼Economy and Business🚀Space
40 comments
178 forecasters

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?

0
0.1%
1
90.1%
2
8.9%
3
0.8%
4+
0.1%
5 comments
28 forecasters

Will Spain hold a general election before May 23, 2027?

99.9%chance
31.9% this week
2 comments
41 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential election?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
19%
Flávio Bolsonaro
81%
8 comments
68 forecasters

What will be the total OpenRouter token usage December 21-27, 2026?

Current estimate
336T tokens
20 comments
87 forecasters

Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage about the state of AI at the end of 2027?

Gary Marcus
30%
Miles Brundage
70%
20 comments
86 forecasters

What will be the winning margin in Brazil’s 2026 presidential election runoff?

Current estimate
3.77 Percentage points
3 comments
2 forecasters

When will ChatGPT Dots become available to ChatGPT Pro subscribers in the EEA?

Current estimate
24 Mar 2027
8 comments
74 forecasters

Will the US approve a $10B exchange stabilisation facility for Pakistan before 2027?

10%chance
4.8% this week
3 comments
77 forecasters

Will José Mourinho still be the manager for Real Madrid on December 31, 2026?

92%chance
4% this week
2 comments
8 forecasters

Will Metaculus exist in 2050?

56%chance
0 comments
14 forecasters

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on Election Day 2026?

Current estimate
36.6%
2 comments
2 forecasters

Will a new Clay Millennium Prize be awarded entirely to individual humans before 2040?

Current estimate
Revealedin 6 days
%chance
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