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🇺🇸US Midterms💥Iran War⚔️Metaculus Cup❓Top Questions🗞️Current Events🤖Artificial Intelligence🌍Geopolitics💼Economy and Business🚀Space
40 comments
173 forecasters

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?

0
0.1%
1
89.6%
2
9.2%
3
1%
4+
0.1%
5 comments
24 forecasters

Will Spain hold a general election before May 23, 2027?

99.9%chance
49.9% this week
2 comments
37 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential election?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
19%
Flávio Bolsonaro
81%
20 comments
78 forecasters

What will be the winning margin in Brazil’s 2026 presidential election runoff?

Current estimate
4 Percentage points
10 comments
28 forecasters

Will the 2026 suspected pneumonic plague outbreak in Russia result in 10 fatalities before 2027?

1.8%chance
7 comments
69 forecasters

Will the US approve a $10B exchange stabilisation facility for Pakistan before 2027?

13%chance
3 comments
2 forecasters

When will ChatGPT Dots become available to ChatGPT Pro subscribers in the EEA?

Current estimate
24 Mar 2027
6 comments
55 forecasters

What will be the total OpenRouter token usage December 21-27, 2026?

Current estimate
321T tokens
3 comments
69 forecasters

Will José Mourinho still be the manager for Real Madrid on December 31, 2026?

88%chance
1 comment
7 forecasters

Will Metaculus exist in 2050?

66%chance
0 comments
12 forecasters

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on Election Day 2026?

Current estimate
36.5%
0 comments
13 forecasters

Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in person before December 1, 2026?

27%chance
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