5 comments
15 forecasters
Will a newly constructed oil or natural gas pipeline intended to bypass the Strait of Hormuz become fully operational before January 1, 2031?
80%chance
3 comments
19 forecasters
Will the U.S. Supreme Court further cut back campaign finance limitations in National Republican Senatorial Committee v. FEC before January 1, 2027?
99.9%chance
24.9% this week
5 comments
55 forecasters
Will the Lebanese Armed Forces deploy to the initial two pilot zones in southern Lebanon before September 2026?
33%chance
4 comments
54 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
France
Argentina
Spain
England
1 comment
3 forecasters
Will the SEC adopt a final rule permitting optional semiannual reporting before January 1, 2027?
50%chance
3 comments
9 forecasters
Will France's V-Dem Liberal Democracy Index fall below 0.80 for 2026 or 2027?
67%chance
11 comments
14 forecasters
Will a Ukranian attack cause a 30-day shutdown of a Russian oil refinery before 2027?
70%chance
0 comments
54 forecasters
What will be the highest price of copper futures in August 2026?
Current estimate
6.33 USD per lb
2 comments
10 forecasters
Will any U.S. Supreme Court justice announce their retirement before September 1, 2026?
13%chance
0 comments
5 forecasters
Who will be the largest Republican donor in the 2026 cycle, as of August 1, 2026?
Ben Horowitz & Marc Andreessen
Elon Musk
Jeff & Janine Yass
Miriam Adelson
Someone else
8 comments
60 forecasters
What will be the World Bank monthly price of liquid sulphur (Tampa) for Q3 2026?
Current estimate
660 USD/metric ton
7 comments
38 forecasters
What will China's human development index (HDI) score be in 2030?
Current estimate
0.839 HDI