23 comments
93 forecasters
What will the global fertility rate be in 2050?
Current estimate
1.84 children per woman
2 comments
20 forecasters
Will August 2026 be the warmest August on record, according to Copernicus?
86%chance
48% this week
1 comment
2 forecasters
Will the Proskauer Private Credit Default Index report a quarterly default rate of >5% before 2029?
Current estimate
Revealedin 15 hours
%chance
1 comment
4 forecasters
When will the first drone cause a deadly crash of a commercial passenger flight?
Current estimate
30 Jul 2028
0 comments
10 forecasters
What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on September 15, 2026?
Current estimate
6.8%
2 comments
9 forecasters
Will the European Space Agency launch the PLATO spacecraft before 2027?
0.1%chance
15% this week
2 comments
9 forecasters
Will at least one paper published in Nature, Science, or Cell list an AI system as a formally credited author before January 1, 2030?
70%chance
2 comments
6 forecasters
Will the majority of global computing power be based on non-silicon hardware before the end of the 21st century?
70%chance
0 comments
7 forecasters
What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia for August 2026?
Current estimate
Revealedin 3 days
1 comment
8 forecasters
What will be the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage for the week ending August 27, 2026?
At least 6.25% but less than 6.50%
At least 6.50% but less than 6.75%
At least 6.75% but less than 7.00%
Greater than 7.00%
2 others
1 comment
11 forecasters
Will a SHA-256 Collision or Preimage be Publicly Demonstrated before 2050?
40%chance
30% this week