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Future of work & AIFuture of the US workforce as AI advances
18 comments
46 forecasters
What will be the relative rank of the weakest team to advance to the knockout stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Current estimate
Revealed in 6 days
1 comment
24 forecasters
Will Russia order a general mobilization before January 1, 2027?
20%chance
30% this week
4 comments
4 forecasters
When will Canada become a full member state of the European Union?
Current estimate
2076
8 comments
61 forecasters
What will be the verdict in Musk v. Altman et al?
Defendant(s) liableHidden
Defendants not liableHidden
None before SeptemberHidden
6 comments
30 forecasters
Will there be a nationwide anti-government uprising in Russia between September 20 and November 1, 2026?
10%chance
10% this week
2 comments
5 forecasters
What will be the mean of the top 10 scores on the Metaculus 2026 Peer Accuracy leaderboard?
Current estimate
44.4 points
1 comment
6 forecasters
What proportion of SCOTUS decisions issued in Q2 2026 will be authored by a Democrat-appointed Justice?
Current estimate
0.308%
5 comments
57 forecasters
Will another country announce they will quit OPEC or OPEC+ before September 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
3 comments
79 forecasters
Will the United States and Iran hold another face-to-face diplomatic meeting before June 6, 2026?
30%chance
35% this week
3 comments
13 forecasters
Will there be a large diffusion of robotics in the US household market before 2033?
Current estimate
3.45 Criteria Fulfilled
3 comments
55 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Iván CepedaHidden
Abelardo de la EspriellaHidden
Paloma ValenciaHidden
Another candidateHidden
2 comments
8 forecasters
Will the United States support Argentine claims of sovereignty over the Malvinas/Falkland Islands before 2030?
Current estimate
Revealed in 5 days