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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธUS Midterms๐Ÿ’ฅIran Warโš”๏ธMetaculus Cupโ“Top Questions๐Ÿ—ž๏ธCurrent Events๐Ÿค–Artificial Intelligence๐ŸŒGeopolitics๐Ÿ’ผEconomy and Business๐Ÿš€Space
40 comments
175 forecasters

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?

0
0.1%
1
90%
2
9%
3
0.8%
4+
0.1%
5 comments
28 forecasters

Will Spain hold a general election before May 23, 2027?

99.9%chance
49.9% this week
20 comments
84 forecasters

What will be the winning margin in Brazilโ€™s 2026 presidential election runoff?

Current estimate
3.95 Percentage points
2 comments
39 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential election?

Luiz Inรกcio Lula da Silva
18%
Flรกvio Bolsonaro
82%
8 comments
66 forecasters

What will be the total OpenRouter token usage December 21-27, 2026?

Current estimate
340T tokens
7 comments
74 forecasters

Will the US approve a $10B exchange stabilisation facility for Pakistan before 2027?

10%chance
4% today
3 comments
2 forecasters

When will ChatGPT Dots become available to ChatGPT Pro subscribers in the EEA?

Current estimate
24 Mar 2027
2 comments
7 forecasters

Will Metaculus exist in 2050?

66%chance
3 comments
77 forecasters

Will Josรฉ Mourinho still be the manager for Real Madrid on December 31, 2026?

90%chance
10 comments
31 forecasters

Will the 2026 suspected pneumonic plague outbreak in Russia result in 10 fatalities before 2027?

0.7%chance
1% today
0 comments
13 forecasters

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on Election Day 2026?

Current estimate
36.6%
0 comments
4 forecasters

How many jobs will the U.S. economy add in October 2026?

Current estimate
43.7k jobs
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