0 comments
18 forecasters
When will Anthropic be publicly traded?
Before November 18
November 18, 19 or 20
November 23, 24, or 25
After Nov 25 & before Dec 1
Not before December
4 comments
82 forecasters
What will be the highest score achieved by any model on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
66.9 Index Score
1 comment
34 forecasters
Which party will win the most votes in Spain's November 29, 2026 general election?
PP
PSOE
Vox
Another party
4 comments
95 forecasters
Will the U.S. and Iran return to war before December 2026?
40%chance
20% this week
8 comments
25 forecasters
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, how many SCOTUS Justices will have been appointed by him on Jan 21, 2029?
3
4
5
6
7 or more
1 comment
35 forecasters
Will a federal voter ID bill be signed by Trump before Jan. 20, 2029?
20%chance
46% this week
9 comments
78 forecasters
Will Loudoun County pause final approvals for new Data Centers and Substations before December 16, 2026?
65%chance
5% this week
6 comments
45 forecasters
By how many points will Kiko Llaneras beat the Community Prediction in the 2026 Fall Metaculus Cup?
Current estimate
Revealedin 6 days
5 comments
74 forecasters
How much US online spending will Adobe report for Cyber Monday 2026?
Current estimate
15.2 billion USD
1 comment
51 forecasters
Will Ukraine have de facto control of Dobropillia, Donetsk on December 31, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealedin 5 days
%chance